5 March 2017 at 11:30

00
Full Time
Referee: Marco Guida

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Atalanta4wins
1draws10 meetings
Fiorentina5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Atalanta.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.6%Draw 27.6%Away 24.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.504.00
Max1.953.774.11
Market favourite:Atalanta · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.2%26.0%23.8%
Public market49.8%26.4%23.8%

Atalanta vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Atalanta (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AtalantaHalf-time:00Fiorentina
16Shots9
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
30/11/25Atalanta2–0Fiorentina1.73/3.83/4.83
30/03/25Fiorentina1–0Atalanta3.71/3.42/2.06
15/09/24Atalanta3–2Fiorentina1.82/3.73/4.33
02/06/24Atalanta2–3Fiorentina1.46/4.79/6.25
17/09/23Fiorentina3–2Atalanta2.39/3.42/2.81
17/04/23Fiorentina1–1Atalanta2.42/3.47/2.92
02/10/22Atalanta1–0Fiorentina1.96/3.55/3.95
20/02/22Fiorentina1–0Atalanta2.60/3.42/2.71
11/09/21Atalanta1–2Fiorentina1.57/4.26/5.78
13/12/20Atalanta3–0Fiorentina1.68/4.27/4.72

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Atalanta

W 370D 275L 347
Over 2.550
Goals scored1391

Away Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 312L 349
Over 2.551
Goals scored1612

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Atalanta and Fiorentina drew 0:0. The match was played in Serie A 2016. 6 yellow cards were shown. Atalanta had 47% possession while Fiorentina held 53%. Atalanta had 16 shots (4 on target) compared to 9 (2 on target) for Fiorentina. Atalanta made 3 substitutions, Fiorentina made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Atalanta and Fiorentina — 0 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Atalanta
Fiorentina
Kick Off
Half Time
M. DAlessandroA. Grassi
46′
50′Josip Iličić
54′Gonzalo Rodríguez
62′Davide Astori
J. KurtičA. Mounier
69′
72′
F. ChiesaF. Bernardeschi
81′
J. IličićM. Olivera
A. PetagnaA. Paloschi
86′
90′
N. KalinićK. Babacar
Full Time

Match Statistics

Atalanta had 47% possession against Fiorentina's 53%. Atalanta registered 16 shots (4 on target) while Fiorentina managed 9 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 9–5. Fouls committed: 18–15.

4Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
16Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox3
18Fouls15
9Corner Kicks5
2Offsides1
47%Ball Possession53%
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
402Total passes469
311Passes accurate364
77%Passes %78%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Atalanta

DDLWWL

Fiorentina

DWWLWD

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results

Atalanta and Fiorentina have met 34 times — Atalanta won 10, Fiorentina won 17, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 34 meetings. A combined 104 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.06 per match (48 for the home side, 56 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 19 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2019.

10

Atalanta

7

Drawn

17

Fiorentina

Goals: 48Goals: 56

Recent Meetings (34)

30 Nov 2025Atalanta2 – 0Fiorentina
30 Mar 2025Fiorentina1 – 0Atalanta
15 Sept 2024Atalanta3 – 2Fiorentina
2 Jun 2024Atalanta2 – 3Fiorentina
24 Apr 2024Atalanta4 – 1Fiorentina
3 Apr 2024Fiorentina1 – 0Atalanta
17 Sept 2023Fiorentina3 – 2Atalanta
17 Apr 2023Fiorentina1 – 1Atalanta
2 Oct 2022Atalanta1 – 0Fiorentina
20 Feb 2022Fiorentina1 – 0Atalanta
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026