23 October 2016 at 13:00

21
Full Time
Referee: Daniele Doveri

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Inter dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Atalanta0wins
3draws10 meetings
Inter7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Inter.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.4%Draw 29.9%Away 44.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.302.20
Max3.513.402.29
Market favourite:Inter · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.9%29.3%42.8%
Public market28.8%28.0%43.2%
Δ0.9%1.4%0.4%

Atalanta vs Inter — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Atalanta
Result vs. Market: Inter (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AtalantaHalf-time:10Inter
11Shots7
8Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
14/03/26Inter1–1Atalanta1.55/4.33/5.75
28/12/25Atalanta0–1Inter3.57/3.57/2.04
16/03/25Atalanta0–2Inter2.54/3.33/2.76
30/08/24Inter4–0Atalanta1.57/4.32/5.70
28/02/24Inter4–0Atalanta1.62/4.05/5.32
04/11/23Atalanta1–2Inter3.34/3.46/2.15
27/05/23Inter3–2Atalanta1.81/3.74/4.01
13/11/22Atalanta2–3Inter3.10/3.65/2.24
16/01/22Atalanta0–0Inter2.88/3.73/2.31
25/09/21Inter2–2Atalanta1.97/3.74/3.73

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Atalanta

W 370D 275L 347
Over 2.550
Goals scored1391

Away Record: Inter

W 662D 286L 256
Over 2.553
Goals scored2141

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Atalanta defeated Inter 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2016. Goals were scored by A. Masiello 10′, E. Martins 50′, M. Pinilla 88′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown. Atalanta had 49% possession while Inter held 51%. Atalanta had 11 shots (8 on target) compared to 7 (4 on target) for Inter. Atalanta made 3 substitutions, Inter made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Atalanta and Inter — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Atalanta
Inter
Kick Off
A. Masiello

assist: J. Kurtič

10′
Rafael TolóiA. Konko
45+2′
Half Time
Abdoulay Konko49′
50′
E. Martins

assist: M. Brozović

61′Éder
61′
Y. NagatomoC. Ansaldi
A. PetagnaM. Pinilla
62′
62′
M. BrozovićG. Kondogbia
76′
E. MartinsA. Candreva
A. GómezR. Gagliardini
81′
M. Pinilla

Penalty

88′
Mauricio Pinilla89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Atalanta had 49% possession against Inter's 51%. Atalanta registered 11 shots (8 on target) while Inter managed 7 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–0. Fouls committed: 19–12.

8Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots0
7Shots insidebox2
4Shots outsidebox5
19Fouls12
4Corner Kicks0
1Offsides0
49%Ball Possession51%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
448Total passes460
367Passes accurate362
82%Passes %79%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Inter show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Atalanta

DDLWWL

Inter

WWWWDD

Atalanta vs Inter Head to Head Results

Atalanta and Inter have met 31 times — Atalanta won 4, Inter won 16, with 11 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Inter leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 31 meetings. A combined 84 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.71 per match (28 for the home side, 56 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Inter are currently unbeaten in the last 17 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–1 in 2017.

4

Atalanta

11

Drawn

16

Inter

Goals: 28Goals: 56

Recent Meetings (31)

14 Mar 2026Inter1 – 1Atalanta
28 Dec 2025Atalanta0 – 1Inter
16 Mar 2025Atalanta0 – 2Inter
2 Jan 2025Inter2 – 0Atalanta
30 Aug 2024Inter4 – 0Atalanta
28 Feb 2024Inter4 – 0Atalanta
4 Nov 2023Atalanta1 – 2Inter
27 May 2023Inter3 – 2Atalanta
31 Jan 2023Inter1 – 0Atalanta
13 Nov 2022Atalanta2 – 3Inter
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026