Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
| Max | 4.20 | 3.88 | 1.88 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 23.6% | 25.0% | 51.5% |
| Public market | 22.7% | 25.1% | 52.2% |
Fiorentina vs Atalanta — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2525/26 | Atalanta | 2–0 | Fiorentina | 1.73/3.83/4.83 |
| 30/03/2524/25 | Fiorentina | 1–0 | Atalanta | 3.71/3.42/2.06 |
| 15/09/2424/25 | Atalanta | 3–2 | Fiorentina | 1.82/3.73/4.33 |
| 02/06/2423/24 | Atalanta | 2–3 | Fiorentina | 1.46/4.79/6.25 |
| 17/09/2323/24 | Fiorentina | 3–2 | Atalanta | 2.39/3.42/2.81 |
| 17/04/2322/23 | Fiorentina | 1–1 | Atalanta | 2.42/3.47/2.92 |
| 02/10/2222/23 | Atalanta | 1–0 | Fiorentina | 1.96/3.55/3.95 |
| 20/02/2221/22 | Fiorentina | 1–0 | Atalanta | 2.60/3.42/2.71 |
| 11/09/2121/22 | Atalanta | 1–2 | Fiorentina | 1.57/4.26/5.78 |
| 13/12/2020/21 | Atalanta | 3–0 | Fiorentina | 1.68/4.27/4.72 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Fiorentina
Away Record: Atalanta
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Atalanta defeated Fiorentina 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2019. Goals were scored by Federico Chiesa 32′, Duván Zapata 49′, Ruslan Malinovskyi 72′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Fiorentina had 32% possession while Atalanta held 68%. Fiorentina had 8 shots (4 on target) compared to 15 (5 on target) for Atalanta. Fiorentina made 3 substitutions, Atalanta made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Fiorentina and Atalanta — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Alejandro Gómez
Match Statistics
Fiorentina had 32% possession against Atalanta's 68%. Fiorentina registered 8 shots (4 on target) while Atalanta managed 15 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 20–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Fiorentina have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Atalanta show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Head to Head Results
Fiorentina and Atalanta have met 34 times — Fiorentina won 17, Atalanta won 9, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 34 meetings. A combined 101 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.97 per match (55 for the home side, 46 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 19 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2019.
17
Fiorentina
8
Drawn
9
Atalanta
Recent Meetings (34)
API data: 15 Mar 2026