14 February 2021 at 14:00

01
Full Time
Referee: M. Piccinini

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Atalanta dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cagliari3wins
1draws10 meetings
Atalanta6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (13%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 14.3%Draw 20.7%Away 69.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min6.504.751.44
Max7.484.961.45
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 38.2%
Market favourite:Atalanta · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market13.0%19.7%67.3%
Public market14.5%19.9%65.6%
Δ1.5%0.2%1.7%

Cagliari vs Atalanta — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Atalanta
Result vs. Market: Atalanta (69%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CagliariHalf-time:00Atalanta
4Shots10
1Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
13/12/25Atalanta2–1Cagliari1.34/5.24/9.11
15/02/25Atalanta0–0Cagliari1.44/4.75/6.71
14/12/24Cagliari0–1Atalanta5.67/4.32/1.55
07/04/24Cagliari2–1Atalanta4.74/3.89/1.72
24/09/23Atalanta2–0Cagliari1.37/4.87/7.76
06/02/22Atalanta1–2Cagliari1.23/6.38/12.49
06/11/21Cagliari1–2Atalanta6.20/4.55/1.51
14/02/21Cagliari0–1Atalanta6.99/4.82/1.44
04/10/20Atalanta5–2Cagliari1.26/6.28/10.67
03/11/19Atalanta0–2Cagliari1.30/5.55/10.39

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cagliari

W 258D 272L 428
Over 2.549
Goals scored1083

Away Record: Atalanta

W 370D 275L 347
Over 2.550
Goals scored1391

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Atalanta defeated Cagliari 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2020. Goals were scored by L. Muriel 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Cagliari had 36% possession while Atalanta held 64%. Cagliari had 4 shots (1 on target) compared to 10 (2 on target) for Atalanta. Cagliari made 4 substitutions, Atalanta made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Daniele Rugani 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Cagliari and Atalanta — 1 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Cagliari
Atalanta
Kick Off
Half Time
46′
M. PessinaM. de Roon
46′
M. PašalićA. Miranchuk
62′
B. ŠutaloJ. Mæhle
68′Josip Iličić
68′
J. IličićL. Muriel
R. NainggolanA. Duncan
79′
G. SimeoneL. Pavoletti
79′
85′
D. ZapataR. Malinovskyi
R. MarinA. Deiola
86′
Goal cancelled90′
VAR
S. WalukiewiczA. Cerri
90+2′
90′
L. Muriel

assist: A. Miranchuk

Full Time

Match Statistics

Cagliari had 36% possession against Atalanta's 64%. Cagliari registered 4 shots (1 on target) while Atalanta managed 10 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–6. Fouls committed: 17–14.

1Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal5
4Total Shots10
2Blocked Shots3
2Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox3
17Fouls14
6Corner Kicks6
0Offsides2
36%Ball Possession64%
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
365Total passes645
240Passes accurate522
66%Passes %81%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Atalanta show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Cagliari

LWLLLL

Atalanta

DDLWWL

Cagliari vs Atalanta Head to Head Results

Cagliari and Atalanta have met 26 times — Cagliari won 9, Atalanta won 14, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Atalanta leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 26 meetings. A combined 59 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.27 per match (26 for the home side, 33 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (42%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Atalanta are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2020.

9

Cagliari

3

Drawn

14

Atalanta

Goals: 26Goals: 33

Recent Meetings (26)

13 Dec 2025Atalanta2 – 1Cagliari
15 Feb 2025Atalanta0 – 0Cagliari
14 Dec 2024Cagliari0 – 1Atalanta
7 Apr 2024Cagliari2 – 1Atalanta
24 Sept 2023Atalanta2 – 0Cagliari
6 Feb 2022Atalanta1 – 2Cagliari
6 Nov 2021Cagliari1 – 2Atalanta
14 Jan 2021Atalanta3 – 1Cagliari
4 Oct 2020Atalanta5 – 2Cagliari
5 Jul 2020Cagliari0 – 1Atalanta
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026