Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.8
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Empoli.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| Max | 3.59 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 27.2% | 27.2% | 45.5% |
| Public market | 27.9% | 27.9% | 44.2% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% |
Empoli vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2524/25 | Fiorentina | 2–1 | Empoli | 1.83/3.52/4.63 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | Empoli | 0–0 | Fiorentina | 3.43/3.29/2.22 |
| 18/02/2423/24 | Empoli | 1–1 | Fiorentina | 3.63/3.36/2.07 |
| 23/10/2323/24 | Fiorentina | 0–2 | Empoli | 1.42/4.67/7.72 |
| 19/02/2322/23 | Fiorentina | 1–1 | Empoli | 1.62/4.05/5.52 |
| 21/08/2222/23 | Empoli | 0–0 | Fiorentina | 3.78/3.83/1.92 |
| 03/04/2221/22 | Fiorentina | 1–0 | Empoli | 1.55/4.35/5.89 |
| 27/11/2121/22 | Empoli | 2–1 | Fiorentina | 3.50/3.53/2.12 |
| 05/05/1918/19 | Empoli | 1–0 | Fiorentina | 2.32/3.70/2.94 |
| 16/12/1818/19 | Fiorentina | 3–1 | Empoli | 1.78/3.75/4.71 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Empoli
Away Record: Fiorentina
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Empoli defeated Fiorentina 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2021. Goals were scored by D. Vlahović 57′, F. Bandinelli 87′, A. Pinamonti 89′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Empoli had 51% possession while Fiorentina held 49%. Empoli had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 16 (7 on target) for Fiorentina. Empoli made 5 substitutions, Fiorentina made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Empoli and Fiorentina — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: José Callejón
assist: A. La Mantia
Match Statistics
Empoli had 51% possession against Fiorentina's 49%. Empoli registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Fiorentina managed 16 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 8–5. Fouls committed: 15–10.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Empoli have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Empoli
Fiorentina
Empoli vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results
Empoli and Fiorentina have met 15 times — Empoli won 4, Fiorentina won 5, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (16 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2015.
4
Empoli
6
Drawn
5
Fiorentina
Recent Meetings (15)
API data: 15 Mar 2026