Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.9
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Sampdoria.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.88 |
| Max | 4.08 | 3.96 | 1.91 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 23.8% | 24.5% | 51.7% |
| Public market | 25.2% | 24.9% | 49.8% |
| Δ | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% |
Sampdoria vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2322/23 | Fiorentina | 5–0 | Sampdoria | 1.32/5.35/9.92 |
| 06/11/2222/23 | Sampdoria | 0–2 | Fiorentina | 4.10/3.48/1.94 |
| 16/05/2221/22 | Sampdoria | 4–1 | Fiorentina | 3.88/3.79/1.90 |
| 30/11/2121/22 | Fiorentina | 3–1 | Sampdoria | 1.70/3.84/5.19 |
| 14/02/2120/21 | Sampdoria | 2–1 | Fiorentina | 2.90/3.37/2.51 |
| 02/10/2020/21 | Fiorentina | 1–2 | Sampdoria | 1.65/4.04/5.25 |
| 16/02/2019/20 | Sampdoria | 1–5 | Fiorentina | 2.76/3.11/2.72 |
| 25/09/1919/20 | Fiorentina | 2–1 | Sampdoria | 1.68/4.06/4.85 |
| 20/01/1918/19 | Fiorentina | 3–3 | Sampdoria | 1.78/3.60/4.43 |
| 19/09/1818/19 | Sampdoria | 1–1 | Fiorentina | 2.83/3.32/2.56 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Sampdoria
Away Record: Fiorentina
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Sampdoria defeated Fiorentina 4:1. The match was played in Serie A 2021. Goals were scored by A. Ferrari 16′, F. Quagliarella 30′, M. Thorsby 71′, A. Sabiri 83′, N. González 89′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Sampdoria had 36% possession while Fiorentina held 64%. Sampdoria had 12 shots (5 on target) compared to 12 (1 on target) for Fiorentina. Sampdoria made 4 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty awarded (Krzysztof Piątek 88′).
Match Events
Key match events between Sampdoria and Fiorentina — 5 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Candreva
assist: A. Sabiri
assist: A. Candreva
assist: F. Caputo
Penalty
Match Statistics
Sampdoria had 36% possession against Fiorentina's 64%. Sampdoria registered 12 shots (5 on target) while Fiorentina managed 12 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 18–9.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Sampdoria have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Sampdoria
Fiorentina
Sampdoria vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results
Sampdoria and Fiorentina have met 25 times — Sampdoria won 6, Fiorentina won 11, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 25 meetings. A combined 76 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.04 per match (30 for the home side, 46 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (68%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2020.
6
Sampdoria
8
Drawn
11
Fiorentina
Recent Meetings (25)
API data: 15 Mar 2026