Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Bologna.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.90 | 3.37 | 2.35 |
| Max | 3.07 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 31.9% | 29.0% | 39.1% |
| Public market | 32.9% | 28.1% | 39.0% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Bologna vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2625/26 | Bologna | 1–2 | Fiorentina | 2.20/3.30/3.40 |
| 26/10/2525/26 | Fiorentina | 2–2 | Bologna | 2.71/3.14/2.80 |
| 18/05/2524/25 | Fiorentina | 3–2 | Bologna | 2.79/3.08/2.76 |
| 15/12/2424/25 | Bologna | 1–0 | Fiorentina | 2.70/3.14/2.76 |
| 14/02/2423/24 | Bologna | 2–0 | Fiorentina | 2.32/3.23/3.19 |
| 12/11/2323/24 | Fiorentina | 2–1 | Bologna | 2.03/3.47/3.63 |
| 05/02/2322/23 | Fiorentina | 1–2 | Bologna | 1.84/3.51/4.61 |
| 11/09/2222/23 | Bologna | 2–1 | Fiorentina | 2.96/3.39/2.43 |
| 13/03/2221/22 | Fiorentina | 1–0 | Bologna | 1.63/3.98/5.53 |
| 05/12/2121/22 | Bologna | 2–3 | Fiorentina | 2.88/3.29/2.56 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Bologna
Away Record: Fiorentina
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Bologna defeated Fiorentina 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2022. Goals were scored by L. Martínez 54′, M. Barrow 59′, M. Arnautović 62′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Bologna had 39% possession while Fiorentina held 61%. Bologna had 12 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (2 on target) for Fiorentina. Bologna made 4 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Bologna and Fiorentina — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: R. Saponara
assist: D. Kasius
Match Statistics
Bologna had 39% possession against Fiorentina's 61%. Bologna registered 12 shots (4 on target) while Fiorentina managed 13 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–8. Fouls committed: 8–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Bologna have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Fiorentina show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Bologna
Fiorentina
Bologna vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results
Bologna and Fiorentina have met 29 times — Bologna won 5, Fiorentina won 15, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.38 per match (26 for the home side, 43 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2021.
5
Bologna
9
Drawn
15
Fiorentina
Recent Meetings (29)
API data: 15 Mar 2026