11 March 2023 at 17:00

20
Full Time
Referee: A. Colombo

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Napoli dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Napoli6wins
0draws10 meetings
Atalanta4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Atalanta.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.8%Draw 25.1%Away 19.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.653.905.00
Max1.704.055.25
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Napoli · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market57.1%24.0%18.9%
Public market57.1%23.8%19.1%

Napoli vs Atalanta — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Napoli
Result vs. Market: Napoli (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NapoliHalf-time:00Atalanta
18Shots6
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/02/26Atalanta2–1Napoli2.45/3.20/3.00
22/11/25Napoli3–1Atalanta2.26/3.24/3.47
18/01/25Atalanta2–3Napoli2.31/3.24/3.21
03/11/24Napoli0–3Atalanta2.07/3.40/3.65
30/03/24Napoli0–3Atalanta2.09/3.64/3.39
25/11/23Atalanta1–2Napoli2.64/3.41/2.64
11/03/23Napoli2–0Atalanta1.67/3.98/5.13
05/11/22Atalanta1–2Napoli3.39/3.67/2.10
03/04/22Atalanta1–3Napoli2.39/3.33/3.05
04/12/21Napoli2–3Atalanta2.47/3.50/2.85

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Napoli

W 450D 233L 237
Over 2.552
Goals scored1480

Away Record: Atalanta

W 370D 275L 347
Over 2.550
Goals scored1391

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Napoli defeated Atalanta 2:0. The match was played in Serie A 2022. Goals were scored by K. Kvaratskhelia 60′, A. Rrahmani 77′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Napoli had 60% possession while Atalanta held 40%. Napoli had 18 shots (6 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Atalanta. Expected goals: Napoli 1.33 — Atalanta 0.28. Napoli made 5 substitutions, Atalanta made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Napoli and Atalanta — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Napoli
Atalanta
Kick Off
44′
B. DjimsitiM. Demiral
Half Time
46′
R. HøjlundL. Muriel
K. Kvaratskhelia

assist: V. Osimhen

60′
M. PolitanoE. Elmas
66′
P. ZielińskiT. Ndombélé
66′
68′
M. PašalićJ. Boga
69′
J. MæhleD. Zappacosta
Kim Min-JaeJuan Jesus
76′
A. Rrahmani

assist: E. Elmas

77′
K. KvaratskheliaA. Zerbin
85′
V. OsimhenG. Simeone
85′
89′
R. TolóiA. Lookman
Full Time

Match Statistics

Napoli had 60% possession against Atalanta's 40%. Napoli registered 18 shots (6 on target) while Atalanta managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 10–4. Fouls committed: 12–11.

6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
18Total Shots6
5Blocked Shots0
13Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls11
10Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
60%Ball Possession40%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
576Total passes381
515Passes accurate306
89%Passes %80%
1.33expected_goals0.28

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Napoli have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Atalanta show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Napoli

WLDWWW

Atalanta

DDLWWL

Napoli vs Atalanta Head to Head Results

Napoli and Atalanta have met 32 times — Napoli won 13, Atalanta won 14, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Atalanta leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 99 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.09 per match (47 for the home side, 52 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 22 matches (69%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 22 games (69%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2021.

13

Napoli

5

Drawn

14

Atalanta

Goals: 47Goals: 52

Recent Meetings (32)

22 Feb 2026Atalanta2 – 1Napoli
22 Nov 2025Napoli3 – 1Atalanta
18 Jan 2025Atalanta2 – 3Napoli
3 Nov 2024Napoli0 – 3Atalanta
30 Mar 2024Napoli0 – 3Atalanta
25 Nov 2023Atalanta1 – 2Napoli
5 Nov 2022Atalanta1 – 2Napoli
3 Apr 2022Atalanta1 – 3Napoli
4 Dec 2021Napoli2 – 3Atalanta
21 Feb 2021Atalanta4 – 2Napoli
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026