22 March 2026 at 19:45

11
Full Time

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Inter dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Fiorentina2wins
2draws10 meetings
Inter6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 20.0%Draw 23.1%Away 61.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min5.004.331.62
Max5.004.331.62
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Inter · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Inter (62%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FiorentinaHalf-time:01Inter
16Shots12
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/03/26Fiorentina1–1Inter5.00/4.33/1.62
29/10/25Inter3–0Fiorentina1.40/4.76/8.09
10/02/25Inter2–1Fiorentina1.47/4.58/6.35
06/02/25Fiorentina3–0Inter3.64/3.55/2.03
28/01/24Fiorentina0–1Inter4.08/3.66/1.87
03/09/23Inter4–0Fiorentina1.64/3.85/5.01
01/04/23Inter0–1Fiorentina1.77/3.80/4.61
22/10/22Fiorentina3–4Inter3.68/3.53/2.04
19/03/22Inter1–1Fiorentina1.50/4.51/6.45
21/09/21Fiorentina1–3Inter3.75/3.68/1.96

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 312L 349
Over 2.551
Goals scored1612

Away Record: Inter

W 662D 286L 256
Over 2.553
Goals scored2141

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Fiorentina and Inter drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by F. Esposito 1′, C. Ndour 77′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Fiorentina had 40% possession while Inter held 60%. Fiorentina had 16 shots (6 on target) compared to 12 (4 on target) for Inter. Expected goals: Fiorentina 2.28 — Inter 1.22. Fiorentina made 4 substitutions, Inter made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Fiorentina and Inter — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Fiorentina
Inter
Kick Off
1′
F. Esposito

assist: N. Barella

Half Time
46′
Carlos AugustoF. Acerbi
M. Kean65′
68′
M. ThuramA. Bonny
69′
H. CalhanogluD. Frattesi
F. ParisiJ. Harrison
69′
83′
N. BarellaP. Sucic
M. KeanR. Piccoli
86′
86′
D. DumfriesLuis Henrique
N. FagioliG. Fabbian
90+1′
A. GudmundssonP. Comuzzo
90+1′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Fiorentina had 40% possession against Inter's 60%. Fiorentina registered 16 shots (6 on target) while Inter managed 12 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 16–12.

6Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots5
9Shots insidebox11
7Shots outsidebox1
16Fouls12
3Corner Kicks5
5Offsides1
40%Ball Possession60%
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
382Total passes575
321Passes accurate497
84%Passes %86%
2.28expected_goals1.22
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Fiorentina lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation under Paolo Vanoli, while Inter deployed a 3-5-2 under Cristian Chivu.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Fiorentina is 6.85, compared to 7.07 for Inter. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Fiorentina's highest-rated starter is Nicolò Fagioli (7.25), while Inter's best-rated player is Hakan Çalhanoğlu (7.51).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Fiorentina have contributed 24 goals and 12 assists this season, led by Moise Kean (8G). Inter's starters account for 49 goals and 39 assists, spearheaded by Marcus Thuram (11G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Fiorentina deploy 4 defenders rated 6.87 on average, against Inter's 3-man backline averaging 7.06. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Fiorentina field 5 midfielders averaging 6.85, versus Inter's 5 rated 7.19. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Fiorentina start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.68, compared to 2 for Inter averaging 6.83. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 82% for Fiorentina and 84% for Inter. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Fiorentina's starters have collected 47 yellow cards this season, compared to 35 for Inter. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Fiorentina's starting XI is 26.8 (youngest: Cher Ndour (21), oldest: David De Gea (35)), while Inter average 28.5 (youngest: Francesco Pio Esposito (20), oldest: Yann Sommer (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Fiorentina's starters average 26 league appearances each, versus 27 for Inter. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Fiorentina4-1-4-13-5-2Inter
GKDEFMIDFWD
43Gea2Dodô5Pongrač.6Ranieri21Gosens44Fagioli65Parisi4Brescia.27Ndour10Guðmund.20Kean1Sommer31Bisseck25Akanji30Augusto2Dumfries23Barella20Çalhano.7Zielińs.32Dimarco9Thuram94Esposito

Substitutes

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Substitutes

Coach: Cristian Chivu

FiorentinaPosition StrengthInter
6.85
Avg Rating
7.07
6.96Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.95
0G 0A0G 0A
6.87Defender (4 v 3)7.06
5G 3A5G 2A
6.85Midfielder (5 v 5)7.19
11G 8A27G 29A
6.68Forward (1 v 2)6.83
8G 1A17G 8A
Fiorentina4-1-4-1
43GoalkeeperDavid De Gea7.0
2DefenderDodô7.01G2A
5DefenderMarin Pongračić6.8
6DefenderLuca Ranieri6.81G
21DefenderRobin Gosens6.93G1A
44MidfielderNicolò Fagioli7.32G3A
65MidfielderFabiano Parisi7.01G1A
4MidfielderMarco Brescianini6.71G
27MidfielderCher Ndour6.62G
10MidfielderAlbert Guðmundsson6.75G4A
20ForwardMoise Kean6.78G1A
Inter3-5-2
1GoalkeeperYann Sommer7.0
31DefenderYann Bisseck7.12G1A
25DefenderManuel Akanji7.12G
30DefenderCarlos Augusto6.91G1A
2MidfielderDenzel Dumfries6.63G1A
23MidfielderNicolò Barella7.33G8A
20MidfielderHakan Çalhanoğlu7.59G4A
7MidfielderPiotr Zieliński7.16G2A
32MidfielderFederico Dimarco7.46G14A
9ForwardMarcus Thuram7.011G5A
94ForwardFrancesco Pio Esposito6.66G3A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Fiorentina have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Inter show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Fiorentina

DWWLWD

Inter

WWWWDD

Fiorentina vs Inter Head to Head Results

Fiorentina and Inter have met 33 times — Fiorentina won 8, Inter won 19, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Inter leads the head-to-head with 19 victories from 33 meetings. A combined 109 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.30 per match (47 for the home side, 62 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 21 matches (64%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 23 games (70%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–4 in 2017.

8

Fiorentina

6

Drawn

19

Inter

Goals: 47Goals: 62

Recent Meetings (33)

29 Oct 2025Inter3 – 0Fiorentina
10 Feb 2025Inter2 – 1Fiorentina
6 Feb 2025Fiorentina3 – 0Inter
28 Jan 2024Fiorentina0 – 1Inter
3 Sept 2023Inter4 – 0Fiorentina
24 May 2023Fiorentina1 – 2Inter
1 Apr 2023Inter0 – 1Fiorentina
22 Oct 2022Fiorentina3 – 4Inter
19 Mar 2022Inter1 – 1Fiorentina
21 Sept 2021Fiorentina1 – 3Inter
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 23 Mar 2026