Serie A · Season 2020
Match Events
assist: A. Reca
assist: João Pedro
assist: G. Zappa
Match Statistics
Match Summary
Cagliari defeated Crotone 4:2. The match was played in Serie A 2020. Goals were scored by Junior Messias 21′, C. Lykogiannis 25′, G. Simeone 35′, S. Molina 43′, R. Sottil 45′, João Pedro 84′. 6 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Cagliari had 43% possession while Crotone held 57%. Cagliari had 19 shots (8 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Crotone. Cagliari made 5 substitutions, Crotone made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (João Pedro 85′).
Cagliari vs Crotone Head to Head Results
5 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Cagliari
Crotone
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Cagliari dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
67%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Max | 2.11 | 3.65 | 3.63 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 46.3% | 26.8% | 26.9% |
| Public market | 47.4% | 26.3% | 26.3% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
Cagliari vs Crotone — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cagliari
Away Record: Crotone
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026