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Crotone vs Cagliari

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2020

Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone28 February 2021 at 14:00
02
Referee: M. Fabbri

Match Events

Crotone
Cagliari
Kick Off
3′Luca Ceppitelli
9′Charalampos Lykogiannis
M. VulićN. Zanellato
20′
Samuel Di Carmine37′
S. MolinaEduardo Henrique
39′
Half Time
46′Daniele Rugani
56′
L. Pavoletti

assist: C. Lykogiannis

Lisandro Magallán59′
60′
João Pedro

Penalty

A. RispoliA. Reca
64′
S. Di CarmineS. Nwankwo
64′
65′
L. PavolettiG. Simeone
65′
A. DuncanA. Deiola
75′Charalampos Lykogiannis
75′Charalampos Lykogiannis
77′
João PedroK. Asamoah
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots9
3Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox3
17Fouls14
7Corner Kicks4
2Offsides0
55%Ball Possession45%
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
432Total passes348
361Passes accurate256
84%Passes %74%

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Crotone 2:0. The match was played in Serie A 2020. Goals were scored by L. Pavoletti 56′, João Pedro 60′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Crotone had 55% possession while Cagliari held 45%. Crotone had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 9 (4 on target) for Cagliari. Crotone made 4 substitutions, Cagliari made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Crotone vs Cagliari Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Crotone
0
wins
Drawn
1
Cagliari
4
wins
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Form

Crotone

DLWWLW

Cagliari

DWLWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Cagliari dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Crotone0wins
1draws6 meetings
Cagliari5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.3%Draw 27.7%Away 46.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.502.10
Max3.313.742.21
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Cagliari · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.6%26.2%44.3%
Public market28.7%26.3%45.1%

Crotone vs Cagliari — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Cagliari (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CrotoneHalf-time:00Cagliari
11Shots9
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/02/21Crotone0–2Cagliari3.30/3.61/2.15
25/10/20Cagliari4–2Crotone2.05/3.58/3.61
10/09/17Cagliari1–0Crotone1.68/3.81/5.44
28/01/18Crotone1–1Cagliari2.39/3.11/3.25
02/10/16Cagliari2–1Crotone1.48/4.33/7.60
26/02/17Crotone1–2Cagliari2.53/3.33/2.93

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Crotone

W 24D 20L 70
Over 2.558
Goals scored119

Away Record: Cagliari

W 259D 273L 429
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026