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Inter vs Lecce

Full Time

Serie A · Season 2022

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano5 March 2023 at 17:00
Home

Inter

20
Away

Lecce

Match Events

Inter
Lecce
Kick Off
H. Mkhitaryan

assist: N. Barella

29′
Half Time
L. Martínez

assist: D. Dumfries

53′
57′
Y. MalehA. Blin
57′
Gabriel StrefezzaR. Oudin
65′
A. TuiaS. Romagnoli
H. MkhitaryanM. Brozović
71′
L. MartínezR. Lukaku
71′
D. DumfriesD. D'Ambrosio
78′
H. ÇalhanoğluR. Gagliardini
78′
82′
F. Di FrancescoL. Banda
83′
JoanGonzàlezÞ. Helgason
R. GosensM. Zanotti
90+1′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal8
14Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox7
10Fouls11
6Corner Kicks4
3Offsides1
62%Ball Possession38%
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
519Total passes313
435Passes accurate235
84%Passes %75%
0.82expected_goals0.55

Match Summary

Inter defeated Lecce 2:0. The match was played in Serie A 2022. Goals were scored by H. Mkhitaryan 29′, L. Martínez 53′. Inter had 62% possession while Lecce held 38%. Inter had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (1 on target) for Lecce. Expected goals: Inter 0.82 — Lecce 0.55. Inter made 5 substitutions, Lecce made 5.

Rivalry since 2010

Inter vs Lecce Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Inter
10
wins
Drawn
2
Lecce
1
wins
Total goals
33 · 2.5/match
Both scored
4/13 · 31%
Over 2.5
5/13 · 38%

Recent Form

Inter

WDWWWW

Lecce

WDDLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Inter dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Inter9wins
1draws10 meetings
Lecce0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

20%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (70%) — the odds may underestimate Inter.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 73.3%Draw 20.7%Away 10.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.354.759.50
Max1.384.979.55
Over 2.5: 51.5%Under 2.5: 51.0%
Market favourite:Inter · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market70.3%19.5%10.2%
Public market70.0%20.0%10.0%

Inter vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Inter
Result vs. Market: Inter (73%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

InterHalf-time:10Lecce
14Shots11
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/02/26Lecce0–2Inter7.00/4.33/1.48
14/01/26Inter1–0Lecce1.13/9.02/19.51
26/01/25Lecce0–4Inter9.11/5.24/1.33
24/08/24Inter2–0Lecce1.19/7.00/15.02
25/02/24Lecce0–4Inter7.40/4.62/1.42
23/12/23Inter2–0Lecce1.21/6.51/12.95
05/03/23Inter2–0Lecce1.36/4.84/9.52
13/08/22Lecce1–2Inter10.58/5.72/1.29
19/01/20Lecce1–1Inter10.56/5.53/1.29
26/08/19Inter4–0Lecce1.22/6.21/14.53

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Inter

W 664D 287L 256
Over 2.554
Goals scored2148

Away Record: Lecce

W 126D 163L 292
Over 2.551
Goals scored599

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026