4 May 2021 at 12:00

10
Full Time
Referee: M. Mariani

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Monza1wins
1draws4 meetings
Lecce2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Monza.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.4%Draw 32.5%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.003.00
Max2.573.203.20
Over 2.5: 49.5%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.7%32.0%30.3%
Public market39.2%29.4%31.4%
Δ1.5%2.6%1.1%

Monza vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Monza
Result vs. Market: Monza (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MonzaHalf-time:10Lecce
9Shots18
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/02/22Monza0–1Lecce2.25/3.48/3.00
01/10/21Lecce3–0Monza2.02/3.39/3.81
04/05/21Monza1–0Lecce2.47/3.08/3.10
04/01/21Lecce0–0Monza2.43/3.37/2.92

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Monza

W 93D 88L 81
Over 2.542
Goals scored330

Away Record: Lecce

W 147D 101L 66
Over 2.550
Goals scored478

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Monza defeated Lecce 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2020. Goals were scored by A. Barberis 41′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Monza had 51% possession while Lecce held 49%. Monza had 9 shots (2 on target) compared to 18 (3 on target) for Lecce. Monza made 5 substitutions, Lecce made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Monza and Lecce — 1 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Monza
Lecce
Kick Off
A. Barberis
41′
Half Time
46′
P. TachtsidisM. Mancosu
58′
L. HendersonB. Nikolov
58′
K. DermakuB. Meccariello
A. ColpaniM. Armellino
67′
K. BoatengM. Balotelli
67′
Mario Balotelli68′
74′
M. StępińskiPablo Rodríguez
A. BarberisM. Scozzarella
77′
Dany MotaD. Diaw
78′
84′
J. BjörkengrenG. Yalçın
M. SampirisiM. D'Alessandro
86′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Monza had 51% possession against Lecce's 49%. Monza registered 9 shots (2 on target) while Lecce managed 18 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 2–6. Fouls committed: 12–20.

2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal8
9Total Shots18
1Blocked Shots7
4Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox8
12Fouls20
2Corner Kicks6
4Offsides3
51%Ball Possession49%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
486Total passes434
419Passes accurate358
86%Passes %82%

Lineups

Monza lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under C. Brocchi, while Lecce deployed a 4-3-1-2 under E. Corini.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Monza is 6.92, compared to 6.75 for Lecce. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Monza's highest-rated starter is A. Colpani (7.11), while Lecce's best-rated player is A. Gallo (6.75).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Monza have contributed 6 goals and 3 assists this season, led by Dany Mota (4G). Lecce's starters account for 0 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Monza deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Lecce's 4-man backline averaging 6.75. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Monza field 5 midfielders averaging 7.11, versus Lecce's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Monza start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.73, compared to 2 for Lecce averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 81% for Monza and 70% for Lecce. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Monza's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 2 for Lecce. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Monza's starting XI is 26.5 (youngest: A. Colpani (26), oldest: Dany Mota (27)), while Lecce average 25.0 (youngest: A. Gallo (25), oldest: A. Gallo (25)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Monza's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 32 for Lecce. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Monza3-5-24-3-1-2Lecce
GKDEFMIDFWD
22Gregorio29Paletta6Bellusci31Sampiri.30Augusto98Pirola7Boateng8Barberis16Frattesi28Colpani47Mota21Gabriel2Maggio5Lucioni17Dermaku25Gallo77Tachtsi.53Henders.42Hjulmand23Björken.9Coda14Stępińs.

Substitutes

Coach: C. Brocchi

Substitutes

Coach: E. Corini

MonzaPosition StrengthLecce
6.92
Avg Rating
6.75
Defender (3 v 4)6.75
0G 0A0G 4A
7.11Midfielder (5 v 4)
2G 1A0G 0A
6.73Forward (2 v 2)
4G 2A0G 0A
Monza3-5-2
22GoalkeeperM. Di Gregorio
29DefenderG. Paletta
6DefenderG. Bellusci
98DefenderL. Pirola
31MidfielderM. Sampirisi
30MidfielderCarlos Augusto
8MidfielderA. Barberis
16MidfielderD. Frattesi
28MidfielderA. Colpani7.12G1A
7ForwardK. Boateng
47ForwardDany Mota6.74G2A
Lecce4-3-1-2
21GoalkeeperGabriel
2DefenderC. Maggio
5DefenderF. Lucioni
17DefenderK. Dermaku
25DefenderA. Gallo6.84A
77MidfielderP. Tachtsidis
53MidfielderL. Henderson
42MidfielderM. Hjulmand
23MidfielderJ. Björkengren
9ForwardM. Coda
14ForwardM. Stępiński

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Monza have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Lecce show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Monza

WWDDDW

Lecce

DLLLLW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026