Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Max | 1.84 | 3.78 | 4.52 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 52.8% | 25.7% | 21.5% |
| Public market | 52.2% | 26.1% | 21.7% |
Cremonese vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2423/24 | Ascoli | 0–0 | Cremonese | 3.75/3.29/2.04 |
| 23/09/2323/24 | Cremonese | 2–2 | Ascoli | 1.69/3.61/5.01 |
| 30/04/2221/22 | Cremonese | 0–1 | Ascoli | 1.82/3.59/4.39 |
| 18/12/2121/22 | Ascoli | 1–4 | Cremonese | 3.00/3.14/2.39 |
| 19/03/2120/21 | Ascoli | 0–0 | Cremonese | 3.29/3.02/2.41 |
| 12/12/2020/21 | Cremonese | 3–3 | Ascoli | 1.76/3.38/5.46 |
| 17/06/2019/20 | Ascoli | 1–3 | Cremonese | 2.45/3.10/3.06 |
| 30/09/1919/20 | Cremonese | 1–0 | Ascoli | 2.25/3.26/3.34 |
| 23/02/1918/19 | Cremonese | 0–1 | Ascoli | 1.98/2.99/4.59 |
| 30/09/1818/19 | Ascoli | 0–0 | Cremonese | 2.50/2.99/3.11 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cremonese
Away Record: Ascoli
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ascoli defeated Cremonese 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2021. Goals were scored by F. Baschirotto 51′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Cremonese had 55% possession while Ascoli held 45%. Cremonese had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Ascoli. Cremonese made 5 substitutions, Ascoli made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Cremonese and Ascoli — 1 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: F. Maistro
Match Statistics
Cremonese had 55% possession against Ascoli's 45%. Cremonese registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Ascoli managed 11 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 8–3. Fouls committed: 9–15.
Lineups
Cremonese lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under F. Pecchia, while Ascoli deployed a 4-3-1-2 under A. Sottil.
Defensive Solidity
Cremonese deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Ascoli's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Cremonese field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Ascoli's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Cremonese start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ascoli averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Age & Experience
The average age of Cremonese's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: L. Sernicola (28), oldest: M. Castagnetti (36)), while Ascoli average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Substitutes
Coach: F. Pecchia
Substitutes
Coach: A. Sottil
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Ascoli show 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Cremonese
Ascoli
Cremonese vs Ascoli Head to Head Results
Cremonese and Ascoli have met 11 times — Cremonese won 3, Ascoli won 2, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Cremonese leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.18 per match (14 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cremonese are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2020.
3
Cremonese
6
Drawn
2
Ascoli
Recent Meetings (11)
API data: 25 Apr 2026