Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
100%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Max | 1.85 | 3.62 | 4.74 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 52.6% | 26.9% | 20.5% |
| Public market | 52.6% | 26.3% | 21.1% |
Cagliari vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cagliari
Away Record: Palermo
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Cagliari defeated Palermo 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by J. Segre 16′, A. Deiola 24′, G. Lapadula 64′. 6 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Cagliari had 54% possession while Palermo held 46%. Cagliari had 14 shots (7 on target) compared to 17 (3 on target) for Palermo. Cagliari made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Cagliari and Palermo — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: I. Marconi
assist: N. Nández
assist: A. Deiola
Match Statistics
Cagliari had 54% possession against Palermo's 46%. Cagliari registered 14 shots (7 on target) while Palermo managed 17 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 7–9. Fouls committed: 16–10.
Lineups
Cagliari lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under C. Ranieri, while Palermo deployed a 3-5-2 under E. Corini.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Cagliari is 6.59, compared to 6.75 for Palermo. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cagliari's highest-rated starter is A. Deiola (6.70), while Palermo's best-rated player is J. Segre (6.88).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Cagliari have contributed 1 goals and 7 assists this season, led by L. Pavoletti (1G). Palermo's starters account for 5 goals and 3 assists, spearheaded by J. Segre (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Cagliari deploy 5 defenders rated 6.65 on average, against Palermo's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Cagliari field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Palermo's 5 rated 6.75. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Cagliari start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.40, compared to 2 for Palermo averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 78% for Cagliari and 82% for Palermo. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Cagliari's starters have collected 11 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for Palermo. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Cagliari's starting XI is 29.8 (youngest: G. Zappa (26), oldest: L. Pavoletti (37)), while Palermo average 26.5 (youngest: C. Gomes (25), oldest: J. Segre (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Cagliari's starters average 13 league appearances each, versus 30 for Palermo. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: C. Ranieri
Substitutes
Coach: E. Corini
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Cagliari
Palermo
Cagliari vs Palermo Head to Head Results
Cagliari and Palermo have met 12 times — Cagliari won 5, Palermo won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Cagliari leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.92 per match (17 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2015.
5
Cagliari
3
Drawn
4
Palermo
Recent Meetings (12)
API data: 25 Apr 2026