1 May 2025 at 13:00

20
Full Time
Referee: F. Fourneau

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Spezia dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spezia6wins
1draws10 meetings
Salernitana3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Spezia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.2%Draw 30.9%Away 22.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.952.973.90
Max1.963.504.84
Over 2.5: 49.3%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite:Spezia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.4%32.0%19.6%
Public market48.6%27.1%24.3%
Δ0.2%4.9%4.7%

Spezia vs Salernitana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Spezia
Result vs. Market: Spezia (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpeziaHalf-time:10Salernitana
19Shots8
7Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/05/25Spezia2–0Salernitana1.96/3.24/4.37
19/10/24Salernitana0–2Spezia2.67/3.15/2.67
31/07/20Salernitana1–2Spezia1.85/3.61/4.20
29/12/19Spezia2–1Salernitana1.87/3.24/4.65
02/04/19Spezia2–1Salernitana1.71/3.53/5.30
10/11/18Salernitana1–0Spezia2.17/2.99/3.76
23/09/17Salernitana2–0Spezia2.15/3.06/3.81
23/02/18Spezia3–0Salernitana1.99/3.06/4.50
26/08/16Spezia1–1Salernitana1.76/3.34/5.21
22/01/17Salernitana1–0Spezia2.29/3.08/3.41

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spezia

W 172D 175L 173
Over 2.542
Goals scored617

Away Record: Salernitana

W 194D 192L 252
Over 2.544
Goals scored734

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Spezia defeated Salernitana 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by R. Kouda 22′, L. Vignali 79′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Spezia had 50% possession while Salernitana held 50%. Spezia had 19 shots (7 on target) compared to 8 (1 on target) for Salernitana. Spezia made 5 substitutions, Salernitana made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Spezia and Salernitana — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Spezia
Salernitana
Kick Off
R. Kouda

assist: A. Matějů

22′
Half Time
62′
A. CerriS. Nwankwo
62′
F. RuggeriD. Verde
R. KoudaA. Čolak
63′
D. FalcinelliF. Cassata
63′
F. BandinelliÁ. Nagy
76′
A. MatějůL. Vignali
76′
76′
P. StojanovićR. Soriano
86′
F. TongyaL. Njoh
86′
L. LochoshviliP. Jaroszyński
F. EspositoG. Lapadula
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Spezia had 50% possession against Salernitana's 50%. Spezia registered 19 shots (7 on target) while Salernitana managed 8 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 7–7. Fouls committed: 21–18.

7Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
19Total Shots8
5Blocked Shots3
13Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox2
21Fouls18
7Corner Kicks7
2Offsides2
50%Ball Possession50%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
324Total passes339
263Passes accurate275
81%Passes %81%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Spezia lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under L. D'Angelo, while Salernitana deployed a 3-4-2-1 under P. Marino.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Spezia is 6.86, compared to — for Salernitana. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Spezia's highest-rated starter is S. Esposito (7.44), while Salernitana's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Spezia have contributed 9 goals and 6 assists this season, led by G. Aurelio (6G). Salernitana's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Spezia deploy 3 defenders rated 6.84 on average, against Salernitana's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Spezia field 4 midfielders averaging 6.93, versus Salernitana's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Spezia start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.62, compared to 3 for Salernitana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 79% for Spezia and —% for Salernitana. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Spezia's starters have collected 28 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Salernitana. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Spezia's starting XI is 26.4 (youngest: R. Kouda (23), oldest: F. Bandinelli (30)), while Salernitana average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Spezia's starters average 20 league appearances each, versus 0 for Salernitana. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Spezia3-4-2-13-4-2-1Salernitana
GKDEFMIDFWD
66Gori2Wiśniew.55Hristov77Bertola37Matějů25Bandine.5Esposito31Aurelio11Falcine.80Kouda9Esposito53Christe.13Ruggeri33Ferrari47Lochosh.29Ghiglio.8Hrustić73Amatucci16Corazza30Stojano.7Tongya90Cerri

Substitutes

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Substitutes

Coach: P. Marino

SpeziaPosition StrengthSalernitana
6.86
Avg Rating
6.84Defender (3 v 3)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.93Midfielder (4 v 4)
8G 5A0G 0A
6.62Forward (3 v 3)
1G 1A0G 0A
Spezia3-4-2-1
66GoalkeeperS. Gori
2DefenderP. Wiśniewski6.8
55DefenderP. Hristov6.8
77DefenderN. Bertola
37MidfielderA. Matějů6.7
25MidfielderF. Bandinelli6.81G
5MidfielderS. Esposito7.41G2A
31MidfielderG. Aurelio6.86G3A
11ForwardD. Falcinelli
80ForwardR. Kouda6.61G1A
9ForwardF. Esposito
Salernitana3-4-2-1
53GoalkeeperO. Christensen
13DefenderF. Ruggeri
33DefenderG. Ferrari
47DefenderL. Lochoshvili
29MidfielderP. Ghiglione
8MidfielderA. Hrustić
73MidfielderL. Amatucci
16MidfielderT. Corazza
30ForwardP. Stojanović
7ForwardF. Tongya
90ForwardA. Cerri

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Spezia have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Salernitana show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Spezia

WLLLDL

Salernitana

WWLLWW

Spezia vs Salernitana Head to Head Results

Spezia and Salernitana have met 13 times — Spezia won 6, Salernitana won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Spezia leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.31 per match (17 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2022.

6

Spezia

3

Drawn

4

Salernitana

Goals: 17Goals: 13

Recent Meetings (13)

19 Oct 2024Salernitana0 – 2Spezia
2 Apr 2023Spezia1 – 1Salernitana
22 Oct 2022Salernitana1 – 0Spezia
7 Feb 2022Salernitana2 – 2Spezia
16 Oct 2021Spezia2 – 1Salernitana
31 Jul 2020Salernitana1 – 2Spezia
29 Dec 2019Spezia2 – 1Salernitana
2 Apr 2019Spezia2 – 1Salernitana
10 Nov 2018Salernitana1 – 0Spezia
23 Feb 2018Spezia3 – 0Salernitana
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 25 Apr 2026