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Modena vs Ternana

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2022

Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena27 August 2022 at 19:45
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Modena

41
Referee: M. Gualtieri

Match Events

Modena
Ternana
Kick Off
Giorgio Cittadini7′
D. Diaw

Penalty

23′
M. Capuano

Own Goal

32′
Sebastien De Maio45+1′
Half Time
46′
L. GhiringhelliM. Defendi
50′
A. Favilli

assist: A. Palumbo

VAR
58′Goal cancelled
N. BonfantiD. Falcinelli
60′
60′
C. FallettiRaul Moro
D. Falcinelli

assist: S. Oukhadda

64′
Diego Falcinelli65′
L. Tremolada
68′
74′
A. PalumboN. Corrado
83′
A. CelliF. Sørensen
84′
A. FavilliS. Spalluto
L. TremoladaT. Silvestri
85′
M. GargiuloT. Battistella
86′
F. PonsiF. Renzetti
88′
D. DiawR. Giovannini
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots6
3Blocked Shots0
11Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls9
3Corner Kicks2
3Offsides1
53%Ball Possession47%
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
473Total passes422
388Passes accurate333
82%Passes %79%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.98, compared to — for Ternana. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is F. Gerli (6.98), while Ternana's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Ternana's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 4 midfielders averaging 6.98, versus Ternana's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Ternana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 88% for Modena and —% for Ternana. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 5 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Ternana. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 26.5 (youngest: F. Ponsi (24), oldest: F. Gerli (29)), while Ternana average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 0 for Ternana. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena4-3-1-24-3-2-1Ternana
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Gagno96Oukhadda28Maio5Cittadi.3Ponsi21Armelli.16Gerli20Gargiulo10Tremola.9Bonfanti99Diaw1Iannari.24Ghiring.26Bogdan19Capuano30Celli34Agazzi14Tacchio10Falletti21Partipi.5Palumbo17Favilli

Substitutes

Coach: A. Tesser

Substitutes

Coach: C. Lucarelli

ModenaPosition StrengthTernana
6.98
Avg Rating
6.98Midfielder (4 v 5)
0G 0A0G 0A
Modena4-3-1-2
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
96DefenderS. Oukhadda
28DefenderS. De Maio
5DefenderG. Cittadini
3DefenderF. Ponsi
21MidfielderM. Armellino
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
20MidfielderM. Gargiulo
10MidfielderL. Tremolada
9ForwardN. Bonfanti
99ForwardD. Diaw
Ternana4-3-2-1
1GoalkeeperA. Iannarilli
24DefenderL. Ghiringhelli
26DefenderL. Bogdan
19DefenderM. Capuano
30DefenderA. Celli
34MidfielderD. Agazzi
14MidfielderF. Di Tacchio
10MidfielderC. Falletti
21MidfielderA. Partipilo
5MidfielderA. Palumbo
17ForwardA. Favilli

Match Summary

Modena defeated Ternana 4:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by D. Diaw 23′ (pen.), M. Capuano 32′ (o.g.), A. Favilli 50′, D. Falcinelli 64′, L. Tremolada 68′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 53% possession while Ternana held 47%. Modena had 15 shots (5 on target) compared to 6 (4 on target) for Ternana. Modena made 5 substitutions, Ternana made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Andrea Favilli 58′).

Rivalry since 2023

Modena vs Ternana Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
Modena
1
wins
Drawn
1
Ternana
1
wins
Total goals
6 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Form

Modena

WLLDDL

Ternana

DLWDLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena3wins
3draws10 meetings
Ternana4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Modena.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.6%Draw 30.5%Away 30.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.203.20
Max2.283.323.47
Over 2.5: 49.5%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite:Modena · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.7%29.3%28.0%
Public market41.9%28.6%29.5%
Δ0.7%0.7%1.4%

Modena vs Ternana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:20Ternana
15Shots5
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
06/04/24Ternana0–0Modena2.81/3.21/2.58
29/10/23Modena2–1Ternana2.04/3.43/3.77
28/01/23Ternana2–1Modena2.23/3.30/3.25
27/08/22Modena4–1Ternana2.24/3.27/3.31
18/09/15Modena1–0Ternana2.18/3.02/3.70
30/01/16Ternana2–1Modena2.20/2.99/3.79
24/12/14Ternana1–0Modena2.77/2.93/2.80
16/05/15Modena1–2Ternana2.08/3.10/3.83
23/11/13Ternana1–1Modena2.06/3.21/3.78
25/04/14Modena3–3Ternana2.04/3.11/4.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026