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Modena vs Ternana

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2023

Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena29 October 2023 at 15:15
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Modena

21
Referee: D. Perenzoni

Match Events

Modena
Ternana
Kick Off
Goal cancelled3′
VAR
C. CauzF. Ponsi
15′
A. Palumbo
17′
Half Time
46′Gregorio Luperini
Fabio Ponsi51′
L. StrizzoloD. Falcinelli
52′
E. DucaJ. Manconi
53′
55′Salim Diakite
D. Falcinelli
56′
59′
A. CelliA. Raimondo
59′
S. DiakitéT. Casasola
59′
C. FavasuliN. Corrado
L. TremoladaK. Bozhanaj
67′
A. PalumboA. Pergreffi
67′
73′
L. LucchesiF. Distefano
77′
A. FavilliF. Dionisi
Diego Falcinelli79′
Andrea Seculin83′
90+4′
F. Dionisi
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal1
19Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots9
12Shots insidebox9
7Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls13
5Corner Kicks5
2Offsides2
52%Ball Possession48%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
429Total passes379
332Passes accurate278
77%Passes %73%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.71, compared to — for Ternana. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is F. Gerli (6.98), while Ternana's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 4 defenders rated 6.53 on average, against Ternana's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 5 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Ternana's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ternana averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 86% for Modena and —% for Ternana. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 9 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Ternana. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 28.7 (youngest: L. Magnino (28), oldest: C. Cauz (29)), while Ternana average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 0 for Ternana. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena4-3-2-13-5-2Ternana
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Seculin99Oukhadda27Riccio19Zaro33Cauz6Magnino16Gerli5Palumbo10Tremola.7Duca32Strizzo.1Iannari.13Mantova.4Sørensen44Lucchesi23Diakité71Luperini66Pyyhtiä27Favasuli3Celli17Favilli10Falletti

Substitutes

Coach: P. Bianco

Substitutes

Coach: C. Lucarelli

ModenaPosition StrengthTernana
6.71
Avg Rating
6.53Defender (4 v 3)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.80Midfielder (5 v 5)
0G 3A0G 0A
Modena4-3-2-1
12GoalkeeperA. Seculin
99DefenderS. Oukhadda
27DefenderA. Riccio
19DefenderG. Zaro
33DefenderC. Cauz6.5
6MidfielderL. Magnino6.63A
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
5MidfielderA. Palumbo
10MidfielderL. Tremolada
7MidfielderE. Duca
32ForwardL. Strizzolo
Ternana3-5-2
1GoalkeeperA. Iannarilli
13DefenderV. Mantovani
4DefenderF. Sørensen
44DefenderL. Lucchesi
23MidfielderS. Diakité
71MidfielderG. Luperini
66MidfielderN. Pyyhtiä
27MidfielderC. Favasuli
3MidfielderA. Celli
17ForwardA. Favilli
10ForwardC. Falletti

Match Summary

Modena defeated Ternana 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by A. Palumbo 17′, D. Falcinelli 56′, F. Dionisi 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 52% possession while Ternana held 48%. Modena had 19 shots (5 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Ternana. Modena made 5 substitutions, Ternana made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Edoardo Duca 3′).

Rivalry since 2022

Modena vs Ternana Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
Modena
1
wins
Drawn
1
Ternana
1
wins
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Form

Modena

WLLDDL

Ternana

DLWDLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena3wins
3draws10 meetings
Ternana4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Modena.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.0%Draw 29.2%Away 26.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.403.70
Max2.073.483.87
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Modena · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.0%27.9%25.1%
Public market46.5%28.0%25.4%

Modena vs Ternana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:10Ternana
19Shots13
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
06/04/24Ternana0–0Modena2.81/3.21/2.58
29/10/23Modena2–1Ternana2.04/3.43/3.77
28/01/23Ternana2–1Modena2.23/3.30/3.25
27/08/22Modena4–1Ternana2.24/3.27/3.31
18/09/15Modena1–0Ternana2.18/3.02/3.70
30/01/16Ternana2–1Modena2.20/2.99/3.79
24/12/14Ternana1–0Modena2.77/2.93/2.80
16/05/15Modena1–2Ternana2.08/3.10/3.83
23/11/13Ternana1–1Modena2.06/3.21/3.78
25/04/14Modena3–3Ternana2.04/3.11/4.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026