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Numancia vs Rayo Vallecano

Los Pajaritos, Soria21 January 2018 at 17:00

Match Events

Numancia
Rayo Vallecano
Kick Off
Half Time
Manu del MoralGuillermo Fernández
64′
Dani NietoNacho
65′
75′
Raúl de TomásJavi Guerra
Markel Etxeberria78′
P. DiamankaAlberto Escassi
84′
88′
Santi ComesañaF. Cerro
90+2′
Adri EmbarbaDiego Aguirre
Full Time

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal4
15Total Shots9
7Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox7
10Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls15
3Corner Kicks1
2Offsides10
46%Ball Possession54%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
395Total passes468
278Passes accurate366
70%Passes %78%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Numancia is 6.50, compared to 6.69 for Rayo Vallecano. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Numancia's highest-rated starter is Carlos Gutiérrez (6.50), while Rayo Vallecano's best-rated player is Unai López (6.80).

Defensive Solidity

Numancia deploy 4 defenders rated 6.50 on average, against Rayo Vallecano's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Numancia field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Rayo Vallecano's 5 rated 6.69. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Numancia start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Rayo Vallecano averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 83% for Numancia and 85% for Rayo Vallecano. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Numancia's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 8 for Rayo Vallecano. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Numancia's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34), oldest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34)), while Rayo Vallecano average 33.5 (youngest: Unai López (30), oldest: Ó. Trejo (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Numancia's starters average 1 league appearances each, versus 16 for Rayo Vallecano. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Numancia4-4-24-1-4-1Rayo Vallecano
GKDEFMIDFWD
13Fernánd.15Etxeber.2Saúl16Gutiérr.5Calvo6Pérez21Mateu24Diamanka23Nieto7Moral12Milla1García14Baiano4Amaya5Dorado7Moreno17López27Comesaña29Beltrán8Trejo22Tomás11Embarba

Substitutes

Coach: Arrasate

Substitutes

Coach: Míchel

NumanciaPosition StrengthRayo Vallecano
6.50
Avg Rating
6.69
6.50Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
Midfielder (5 v 5)6.69
0G 0A0G 3A
Numancia4-4-2
13GoalkeeperAitor Fernández
15DefenderMarkel Etxeberría
2DefenderSaúl
16DefenderCarlos Gutiérrez6.5
5DefenderDani Calvo
6MidfielderIñigo Pérez
21MidfielderMarc Mateu
24MidfielderP. Diamanka
23MidfielderDani Nieto
12MidfielderPere Milla
7ForwardManu del Moral
Rayo Vallecano4-1-4-1
1GoalkeeperAlberto García
14DefenderBaiano
4DefenderAntonio Amaya
5DefenderChechu Dorado
7DefenderÁlex Moreno
17MidfielderUnai López6.83A
27MidfielderSanti Comesaña
29MidfielderFran Beltrán
8MidfielderÓ. Trejo6.6
11MidfielderAdri Embarba
22ForwardRaúl de Tomás

Match Summary

Numancia and Rayo Vallecano drew 0:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2017. 3 yellow cards were shown. Numancia had 46% possession while Rayo Vallecano held 54%. Numancia had 15 shots (0 on target) compared to 9 (3 on target) for Rayo Vallecano. Numancia made 3 substitutions, Rayo Vallecano made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Numancia vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Numancia
0
wins
Drawn
4
Rayo Vallecano
1
wins
Total goals
19 · 3.8/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
4/5 · 80%

Recent Form

Numancia

WDWWDD

Rayo Vallecano

WWDWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Numancia1wins
6draws10 meetings
Rayo Vallecano3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Rayo Vallecano.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.9%Draw 32.4%Away 35.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.603.002.70
Max2.693.252.87
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.1%29.9%34.1%
Public market35.9%31.3%32.8%
Δ0.2%1.5%1.3%

Numancia vs Rayo Vallecano — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Numancia (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NumanciaHalf-time:00Rayo Vallecano
15Shots9
0Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
09/07/20Rayo Vallecano3–2Numancia1.93/3.35/4.17
16/11/19Numancia2–2Rayo Vallecano2.70/3.06/2.79
26/08/17Rayo Vallecano2–2Numancia1.92/3.40/4.23
21/01/18Numancia0–0Rayo Vallecano2.64/3.08/2.81
16/10/16Rayo Vallecano3–3Numancia1.82/3.45/4.62
25/03/17Numancia0–0Rayo Vallecano2.18/3.11/3.57
02/05/99Numancia2–1Rayo Vallecano
29/11/98Rayo Vallecano1–1Numancia
17/01/98Numancia0–1Rayo Vallecano
07/09/97Rayo Vallecano2–0Numancia

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Numancia

W 283D 254L 261
Over 2.542
Goals scored972

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 189D 149L 162
Over 2.548
Goals scored665

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026