14 May 2023 at 17:00

Referee: A. Tzilos

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Panathinaikos5wins
2draws10 meetings
Aris Thessalonikis3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 7.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 73.7%Draw 23.1%Away 10.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.354.008.63
Max1.364.6811.00
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Panathinaikos · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market69.1%20.1%10.9%
Public market69.6%21.8%8.6%
Δ0.5%1.8%2.3%

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Panathinaikos (74%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PanathinaikosHalf-time:11Aris Thessalonikis
15Shots10
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/03/26Panathinaikos3–1Aris Thessalonikis1.81/3.20/4.75
19/10/25Aris Thessalonikis1–1Panathinaikos3.19/3.25/2.25
09/02/25Aris Thessalonikis2–0Panathinaikos3.98/3.31/1.93
27/10/24Panathinaikos1–1Aris Thessalonikis1.71/3.53/4.71
28/04/24Panathinaikos0–1Aris Thessalonikis1.27/5.20/9.99
07/04/24Aris Thessalonikis0–2Panathinaikos4.14/3.46/1.84
28/02/24Panathinaikos2–0Aris Thessalonikis1.52/3.95/6.13
26/11/23Aris Thessalonikis2–0Panathinaikos3.37/3.32/2.09
12/02/23Aris Thessalonikis1–2Panathinaikos2.93/2.80/2.70
23/10/22Panathinaikos1–0Aris Thessalonikis1.81/3.28/4.75

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Panathinaikos

W 518D 180L 172
Over 2.546
Goals scored1479

Away Record: Aris Thessalonikis

W 269D 185L 229
Over 2.540
Goals scored815

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Panathinaikos and Aris Thessalonikis drew 1:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2022. Goals were scored by L. Kleinheisler 6′, J. Iturbe 25′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Panathinaikos had 53% possession while Aris Thessalonikis held 47%. Panathinaikos had 16 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Aris Thessalonikis. Panathinaikos made 5 substitutions, Aris Thessalonikis made 5. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Juan Iturbe 28′), Penalty confirmed (Aboubakar Kamara 77′).

Match Events

Key match events between Panathinaikos and Aris Thessalonikis — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Kick Off
L. Kleinheisler

assist: Bernard

6′
VAR
28′Goal confirmed
Half Time
46′
A. GrayA. Kamara
46′
R. SgourosL. Rupp
46′
L. ChristodoulopoulosL. Palma
BernardA. Čerin
64′
F. IoannidisA. Šporar
64′
66′
J. IturbeM. García
VAR
77′Penalty confirmed
D. KourbelisS. Palacios
77′
Juan CarlosT. Puchacz
83′
L. KleinheislerB. Verbič
83′
90+1′
V. DaridaFabiano
Full Time

Match Statistics

Panathinaikos had 53% possession against Aris Thessalonikis's 47%. Panathinaikos registered 16 shots (6 on target) while Aris Thessalonikis managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 14–17.

6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots11
6Blocked Shots4
13Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls17
4Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
53%Ball Possession47%
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
453Total passes412
388Passes accurate349
86%Passes %85%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Panathinaikos lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, while Aris Thessalonikis deployed a —.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Panathinaikos is 6.72, compared to — for Aris Thessalonikis. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Panathinaikos's highest-rated starter is G. Kotsiras (6.81), while Aris Thessalonikis's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Panathinaikos deploy 4 defenders rated 6.81 on average, against Aris Thessalonikis's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Panathinaikos field 5 midfielders averaging 6.63, versus Aris Thessalonikis's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Panathinaikos start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Aris Thessalonikis averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 84% for Panathinaikos and —% for Aris Thessalonikis. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Panathinaikos's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Aris Thessalonikis. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Panathinaikos's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: F. Ioannidis (25), oldest: G. Kotsiras (33)), while Aris Thessalonikis average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Panathinaikos's starters average 8 league appearances each, versus 0 for Aris Thessalonikis. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Panathinaikos4-2-3-1Aris Thessalonikis
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Lodygin27Kotsiras31Šarlija23Magnúss.3Carlos4Pérez21Kourbel.17Mancini10Bernard8Kleinhe.7Ioannid.

Substitutes

Coach: I. Jovanović

Substitutes

PanathinaikosPosition StrengthAris Thessalonikis
6.72
Avg Rating
6.81Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.63Midfielder (5 v 3)
0G 0A0G 0A
Panathinaikos4-2-3-1
12GoalkeeperY. Lodygin
27DefenderG. Kotsiras6.8
31DefenderZ. Šarlija
23DefenderH. Magnússon
3DefenderJuan Carlos
4MidfielderRubén Pérez
21MidfielderD. Kourbelis
17MidfielderD. Mancini6.6
10MidfielderBernard
8MidfielderL. Kleinheisler
7ForwardF. Ioannidis
Aris Thessalonikis
99GoalkeeperM. Siampanis
22DefenderM. Odubajo
3DefenderN. Nkoulou
43DefenderM. Peersman
18DefenderB. Mazikou
16MidfielderV. Darida
13MidfielderO. Etebo
88MidfielderR. Sgouros
11ForwardJ. Iturbe
9ForwardA. Gray
7ForwardL. Christodoulopoulos

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Panathinaikos have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Aris Thessalonikis show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Panathinaikos

LDWLDW

Aris Thessalonikis

WDLDDL

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis Head to Head Results

Panathinaikos and Aris Thessalonikis have met 33 times — Panathinaikos won 17, Aris Thessalonikis won 9, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Panathinaikos leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 33 meetings. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.85 per match (37 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (27%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (21%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Panathinaikos are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2014.

17

Panathinaikos

7

Drawn

9

Aris Thessalonikis

Goals: 37Goals: 24

Recent Meetings (33)

1 Mar 2026Panathinaikos3 – 1Aris Thessalonikis
14 Jan 2026Panathinaikos3 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
19 Oct 2025Aris Thessalonikis1 – 1Panathinaikos
9 Feb 2025Aris Thessalonikis2 – 0Panathinaikos
27 Oct 2024Panathinaikos1 – 1Aris Thessalonikis
25 May 2024Panathinaikos1 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
28 Apr 2024Panathinaikos0 – 1Aris Thessalonikis
7 Apr 2024Aris Thessalonikis0 – 2Panathinaikos
28 Feb 2024Panathinaikos2 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
26 Nov 2023Aris Thessalonikis2 – 0Panathinaikos
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026