2 October 2022 at 18:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.7
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate PAOK.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.45 | 2.88 | 2.90 |
| Max | 2.60 | 3.20 | 3.07 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 36.5% | 32.6% | 30.9% |
| Public market | 37.8% | 29.6% | 32.6% |
| Δ | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
PAOK vs Panathinaikos — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2625/26 | PAOK | 0–0 | Panathinaikos | 1.62/3.50/5.50 |
| 21/12/2525/26 | PAOK | 2–0 | Panathinaikos | 1.91/3.50/3.80 |
| 09/11/2525/26 | Panathinaikos | 2–1 | PAOK | 2.32/3.30/2.95 |
| 27/04/2524/25 | PAOK | 2–1 | Panathinaikos | 1.94/3.41/3.94 |
| 13/04/2524/25 | Panathinaikos | 3–1 | PAOK | 2.31/3.22/3.21 |
| 05/01/2524/25 | Panathinaikos | 2–1 | PAOK | 2.15/3.21/3.41 |
| 15/09/2424/25 | PAOK | 0–0 | Panathinaikos | 1.84/3.40/4.25 |
| 31/03/2423/24 | Panathinaikos | 2–3 | PAOK | 2.08/3.35/3.42 |
| 28/01/2423/24 | PAOK | 2–1 | Panathinaikos | 2.27/3.28/3.05 |
| 01/10/2323/24 | Panathinaikos | 2–2 | PAOK | 1.88/3.29/4.22 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: PAOK
Away Record: Panathinaikos
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Panathinaikos defeated PAOK 2:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2022. Goals were scored by Nélson Oliveira 18′, Aitor Cantalapiedra 51′, Aitor Cantalapiedra 73′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown. PAOK had 58% possession while Panathinaikos held 42%. PAOK had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 7 (5 on target) for Panathinaikos. PAOK made 5 substitutions, Panathinaikos made 3. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Andraž Šporar 71′), Penalty cancelled (Giannis Konstantelias 90′).
Match Events
Key match events between PAOK and Panathinaikos — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Rubén Pérez
Penalty
Match Statistics
PAOK had 58% possession against Panathinaikos's 42%. PAOK registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Panathinaikos managed 7 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 14–17.
Lineups
PAOK lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under R. Lucescu, while Panathinaikos deployed a 4-3-3 under I. Jovanović.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for PAOK is 7.18, compared to 6.88 for Panathinaikos. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. PAOK's highest-rated starter is A. Živković (7.18), while Panathinaikos's best-rated player is A. Čerin (6.88).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of PAOK have contributed 2 goals and 9 assists this season, led by A. Živković (2G). Panathinaikos's starters account for 1 goals and 1 assists, spearheaded by A. Čerin (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
PAOK deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Panathinaikos's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
PAOK field 5 midfielders averaging 7.18, versus Panathinaikos's 3 rated 6.88. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
PAOK start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Panathinaikos averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 77% for PAOK and 90% for Panathinaikos. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
PAOK's starters have collected 5 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Panathinaikos. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of PAOK's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: A. Živković (29), oldest: A. Živković (29)), while Panathinaikos average 26.0 (youngest: A. Čerin (26), oldest: A. Čerin (26)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
PAOK's starters average 20 league appearances each, versus 23 for Panathinaikos. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: R. Lucescu
Substitutes
Coach: I. Jovanović
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, PAOK have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Panathinaikos show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
PAOK
Panathinaikos
PAOK vs Panathinaikos Head to Head Results
PAOK and Panathinaikos have met 5 times — PAOK won 3, Panathinaikos won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. PAOK leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.60 per match (6 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (20%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (20%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. PAOK are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2025.
3
PAOK
1
Drawn
1
Panathinaikos
Recent Meetings (5)
API data: 15 Mar 2026