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PAOK vs AEK Athens FC

13 May 2026 at 17:30Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
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PAOK

11
Referee: Sven Jablonski

Match Summary

PAOK and AEK Athens FC drew 1:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2025. Goals were scored by L. Jovic 73′, A. Mythou 88′. 4 yellow cards were shown. PAOK had 55% possession while AEK Athens FC held 45%. PAOK had 15 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (4 on target) for AEK Athens FC. Expected goals: PAOK 1.35 — AEK Athens FC 1.02. PAOK made 5 substitutions, AEK Athens FC made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between PAOK and AEK Athens FC — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Match Statistics

PAOK had 55% possession against AEK Athens FC's 45%. PAOK registered 15 shots (4 on target) while AEK Athens FC managed 13 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 8–5. Fouls committed: 11–11.

Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Total Shots
15
13
Blocked Shots
8
5
Shots inside the Box
10
9
Shots outside the Box
5
4
Fouls
11
11
Corner Kicks
8
5
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
55%
45%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
3
Total Passes
484
398
Accurate Passes
404
333
Pass Accuracy
83%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
1.02
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.58
0.58

Lineups

PAOK lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Razvan Lucescu, while AEK Athens FC deployed a 4-4-2 under Marko Nikolic.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for PAOK is 7.03, compared to 6.97 for AEK Athens FC. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. PAOK's highest-rated starter is G. Konstantelias (7.28), while AEK Athens FC's best-rated player is O. Pineda (7.33).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of PAOK have contributed 42 goals and 31 assists this season, led by M. Ozdoev (8G). AEK Athens FC's starters account for 24 goals and 19 assists, spearheaded by A. Koita (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

PAOK deploy 4 defenders rated 7.02 on average, against AEK Athens FC's 4-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

PAOK field 5 midfielders averaging 7.13, versus AEK Athens FC's 4 rated 7.02. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

PAOK start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.75, compared to 2 for AEK Athens FC averaging 6.89. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 81% for PAOK and 80% for AEK Athens FC. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

PAOK's starters have collected 30 yellow cards this season, compared to 48 for AEK Athens FC. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of PAOK's starting XI is 30.2 (youngest: G. Konstantelias (22), oldest: Taison (37)), while AEK Athens FC average 29.4 (youngest: Zini (23), oldest: D. Vida (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

PAOK's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 22 for AEK Athens FC. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

PAOK4-2-3-14-4-2AEK Athens FC
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Pavlenka3Kenny16Kedziora5Michail.21Baba27Ozdoev8Meite14Zivkovic65Konstan.11Taison19Jeremej.91Brignoli12Rota21Vida44Relvas29Penrice11Koita13Pineda18Marin10Mario25Varga90Zini

Substitutes

Coach: Razvan Lucescu

Substitutes

Coach: Marko Nikolic

PAOKPosition StrengthAEK Athens FC
7.03
Avg Rating
6.97
6.81Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.10
0G 0A0G 0A
7.02Defender (4 v 4)6.92
2G 3A1G 6A
7.13Midfielder (5 v 4)7.02
33G 26A15G 11A
6.75Forward (1 v 2)6.89
7G 2A8G 2A
PAOK4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperJ. Pavlenka6.8
3DefenderJ. Kenny6.81A
16DefenderT. Kedziora7.2
5DefenderG. Michailidis7.2
21DefenderA. R. Baba6.82G2A
27MidfielderM. Ozdoev7.08G3A
8MidfielderS. Meite7.08G3A
14MidfielderA. Zivkovic7.33G12A
65MidfielderG. Konstantelias7.38G2A
11MidfielderTaison7.26G6A
19ForwardA. Jeremejeff6.87G2A
AEK Athens FC4-4-2
91GoalkeeperA. Brignoli7.1
12DefenderL. Rota7.06A
21DefenderD. Vida6.8
44DefenderF. Relvas7.11G
29DefenderJ. Penrice6.8
11MidfielderA. Koita7.05G1A
13MidfielderO. Pineda7.35G2A
18MidfielderR. Marin7.13G7A
10MidfielderJoao Mario6.72G1A
25ForwardB. Varga7.05G2A
90ForwardZini6.83G

Rivalry since 2013

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC Head to Head Results· 50

PAOK and AEK Athens FC have met 50 times — PAOK won 21, AEK Athens FC won 14, with 15 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. PAOK leads the head-to-head with 21 victories from 50 meetings. A combined 102 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.04 per match (52 for the home side, 50 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (34%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2025.

21
wins
Drawn
15
·
Total goals
102 · 2.0/match
Both scored
20/50 · 40%
Over 2.5
17/50 · 34%

Recent Meetings

19/04/26Super League 1
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15/02/26Super League 1
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19/10/25Super League 1
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11/05/25Super League 1
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30/03/25Super League 1
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02/02/25Super League 1
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18/12/24Cup
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20/10/24Super League 1
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03/07/24Friendlies Clubs
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28/04/24Super League 1
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Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, PAOK have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. AEK Athens FC show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

PAOK

DDDWLL

Match Prediction

Predicted winnerAEK Athens FC

PAOK

10%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

AEK Athens FC

45%

Away win

Statistical tip

Combo Double chance : draw or AEK Athens FC and -3.5 goals

28%Form72%
36%Attack64%
13%Defence88%
55%Goals45%
71%Head-to-head29%
46.3%Overall53.8%

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

PAOK

1.94

Dafabet

Draw

3.55

Dafabet

AEK Athens FC

4.50

Unibet

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

3
wins
draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate AEK Athens FC.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

13 May 202625/261.68/3.70/5.00
Match Details
19 Apr 202625/262.15/3.25/3.25
Match Details
15 Feb 202625/262.05/3.40/3.40
Match Details
19 Oct 202525/262.36/3.11/3.12
Match Details
11 May 202524/252.21/3.35/3.20
Match Details
30 Mar 202524/252.08/3.38/3.61
Match Details
2 Feb 202524/252.58/3.22/2.68
Match Details
20 Oct 202424/252.05/3.34/3.55
Match Details
11 Feb 202423/242.24/3.38/3.05
Match Details
30 Oct 202323/241.73/3.58/4.73
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.5%Draw 27.0%Away 20.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.683.705.00
Max1.683.705.00
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:PAOK · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: PAOK (60%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PAOKHalf-time:00AEK Athens FC
15Shots13
4Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: PAOK

W 482D 188L 205
Over 2.550
Goals scored1433

Away Record: AEK Athens FC

W 464D 181L 162
Over 2.549
Goals scored1395

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026