Bundesliga· Season 2025
Match Summary
Union Berlin defeated FSV Mainz 05 3:1. The match was played in Bundesliga 2025. Goals were scored by A. Ilic 38′, S. Becker 48′, O. Burke 88′, J. Juranovic 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. FSV Mainz 05 had 53% possession while Union Berlin held 47%. FSV Mainz 05 had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 16 (9 on target) for Union Berlin. Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 1.57 — Union Berlin 2.68. FSV Mainz 05 made 5 substitutions, Union Berlin made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Phillip Tietz 59′).
Match Events
Key match events between FSV Mainz 05 and Union Berlin — 4 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Kemlein
assist: A. Ilic
assist: T. Skarke
Match Statistics
FSV Mainz 05 had 53% possession against Union Berlin's 47%. FSV Mainz 05 registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Union Berlin managed 16 (9 on target). Corner kicks: 7–8. Fouls committed: 11–10.
Lineups
FSV Mainz 05 lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under Urs Fischer, while Union Berlin deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Marie-Louise Eta.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for FSV Mainz 05 is 6.89, compared to — for Union Berlin. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. FSV Mainz 05's highest-rated starter is N. Amiri (7.45), while Union Berlin's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of FSV Mainz 05 have contributed 31 goals and 16 assists this season, led by N. Amiri (12G). Union Berlin's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
FSV Mainz 05 deploy 3 defenders rated 6.86 on average, against Union Berlin's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
FSV Mainz 05 field 5 midfielders averaging 6.96, versus Union Berlin's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
FSV Mainz 05 start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.71, compared to 1 for Union Berlin averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 74% for FSV Mainz 05 and —% for Union Berlin. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
FSV Mainz 05's starters have collected 39 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Union Berlin. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of FSV Mainz 05's starting XI is 28.7 (youngest: P. Nebel (23), oldest: D. da Costa (32)), while Union Berlin average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
FSV Mainz 05's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 0 for Union Berlin. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Urs Fischer
Substitutes
Coach: Marie-Louise Eta
Rivalry since 2019
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Head to Head Results· 13
FSV Mainz 05 and Union Berlin have met 13 times — FSV Mainz 05 won 1, Union Berlin won 7, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Union Berlin leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.92 per match (13 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (77%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Union Berlin are currently unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2023.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, FSV Mainz 05 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Union Berlin show 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.
Match Prediction
Statistical tip
Double chance: FSV Mainz 05 or draw
Injuries & Suspensions
FSV Mainz 05
- DoubtfulM. Dal
- DoubtfulB. Hollerbach
- DoubtfulM. Leitsch
- DoubtfulSilas
- DoubtfulM. Dal
- DoubtfulB. Hollerbach
- DoubtfulM. Leitsch
- DoubtfulSilas
Union Berlin
- DoubtfulJ. Haberer
- DoubtfulD. Preu
- DoubtfulM. Raab
- DoubtfulF. Ronnow
- DoubtfulR. Skov
- DoubtfulJ. Haberer
- DoubtfulD. Preu
- DoubtfulM. Raab
- DoubtfulF. Ronnow
- DoubtfulR. Skov
Bookmaker Odds
Best price
FSV Mainz 05
1.76
1xBet
Draw
4.22
1xBet
Union Berlin
4.78
1xBet
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
90%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Union Berlin dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Union Berlin.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Max | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: FSV Mainz 05
Away Record: Union Berlin
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 17 May 2026