29 October 2016 at 18:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
5.1
Average goals per game
100%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (85%) — the odds may underestimate Excelsior.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.12 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Max | 1.15 | 9.64 | 20.39 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 85.1% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Public market | 82.1% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Δ | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
Ajax vs Excelsior — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2625/26 | Excelsior | 2–2 | Ajax | 4.20/3.90/1.75 |
| 22/11/2525/26 | Ajax | 1–2 | Excelsior | 1.36/5.53/7.20 |
| 24/04/2423/24 | Ajax | 2–2 | Excelsior | 1.28/5.92/9.57 |
| 19/08/2323/24 | Excelsior | 2–2 | Ajax | 9.68/6.35/1.23 |
| 29/01/2322/23 | Excelsior | 1–4 | Ajax | 10.59/6.25/1.25 |
| 16/10/2222/23 | Ajax | 7–1 | Excelsior | 1.05/13.29/30.70 |
| 13/04/1918/19 | Ajax | 6–2 | Excelsior | 1.07/11.85/28.89 |
| 11/11/1818/19 | Excelsior | 1–7 | Ajax | 15.32/7.67/1.15 |
| 14/12/1717/18 | Ajax | 3–1 | Excelsior | 1.09/10.99/21.47 |
| 06/05/1817/18 | Excelsior | 1–2 | Ajax | 8.25/5.13/1.32 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Ajax
Away Record: Excelsior
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ajax defeated Excelsior 1:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2016. Goals were scored by H. Ziyech 48′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 68% possession while Excelsior held 32%. Ajax had 26 shots (9 on target) compared to 5 (3 on target) for Excelsior. Ajax made 2 substitutions, Excelsior made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Ajax and Excelsior — 1 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: K. Dolberg
Match Statistics
Ajax had 68% possession against Excelsior's 32%. Ajax registered 26 shots (9 on target) while Excelsior managed 5 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 8–2. Fouls committed: 5–16.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Excelsior show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Ajax
Excelsior
Ajax vs Excelsior Head to Head Results
Ajax and Excelsior have met 19 times — Ajax won 13, Excelsior won 1, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 80 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.21 per match (59 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (79%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (79%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Excelsior are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–1 in 2022.
13
Ajax
5
Drawn
1
Excelsior
Recent Meetings (19)
API data: 15 Mar 2026