4 April 2021 at 14:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.9
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (10%) — the odds may underestimate Heerenveen.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 9.50 | 5.80 | 1.28 |
| Max | 10.00 | 6.20 | 1.29 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 9.9% | 15.5% | 74.6% |
| Public market | 9.5% | 15.9% | 74.6% |
Heerenveen vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2525/26 | Ajax | 1–1 | Heerenveen | 1.57/4.50/5.00 |
| 19/01/2524/25 | Heerenveen | 0–2 | Ajax | 5.21/4.12/1.61 |
| 11/08/2424/25 | Ajax | 1–0 | Heerenveen | 1.45/4.76/6.08 |
| 11/02/2423/24 | Heerenveen | 3–2 | Ajax | 3.97/4.47/1.72 |
| 05/11/2323/24 | Ajax | 4–1 | Heerenveen | 1.47/4.98/5.71 |
| 12/03/2322/23 | Heerenveen | 2–4 | Ajax | 6.91/4.86/1.43 |
| 10/09/2222/23 | Ajax | 5–0 | Heerenveen | 1.19/7.46/12.91 |
| 11/05/2221/22 | Ajax | 5–0 | Heerenveen | 1.14/8.53/16.50 |
| 16/10/2121/22 | Heerenveen | 0–2 | Ajax | 10.74/5.99/1.24 |
| 18/10/2020/21 | Ajax | 5–1 | Heerenveen | 1.19/7.31/13.68 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heerenveen
Away Record: Ajax
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ajax defeated Heerenveen 2:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2020. Goals were scored by M. van Bergen 27′, D. Tadić 36′ (pen.), S. Haller 61′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Heerenveen had 38% possession while Ajax held 62%. Heerenveen had 8 shots (1 on target) compared to 18 (6 on target) for Ajax. Heerenveen made 4 substitutions, Ajax made 3. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Edson Álvarez 34′).
Match Events
Key match events between Heerenveen and Ajax — 3 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Veerman
Penalty
assist: L. Martínez
Match Statistics
Heerenveen had 38% possession against Ajax's 62%. Heerenveen registered 8 shots (1 on target) while Ajax managed 18 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 2–9. Fouls committed: 13–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Ajax show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Heerenveen
Ajax
Heerenveen vs Ajax Head to Head Results
Heerenveen and Ajax have met 32 times — Heerenveen won 1, Ajax won 26, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 26 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 135 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.22 per match (30 for the home side, 105 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 25 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2019.
1
Heerenveen
5
Drawn
26
Ajax
Recent Meetings (32)
API data: 15 Mar 2026