11 February 2024 at 13:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.9
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| Max | 4.15 | 4.57 | 1.75 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 23.4% | 21.2% | 55.4% |
| Public market | 23.8% | 21.2% | 55.0% |
Heerenveen vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2525/26 | Ajax | 1–1 | Heerenveen | 1.57/4.50/5.00 |
| 19/01/2524/25 | Heerenveen | 0–2 | Ajax | 5.21/4.12/1.61 |
| 11/08/2424/25 | Ajax | 1–0 | Heerenveen | 1.45/4.76/6.08 |
| 11/02/2423/24 | Heerenveen | 3–2 | Ajax | 3.97/4.47/1.72 |
| 05/11/2323/24 | Ajax | 4–1 | Heerenveen | 1.47/4.98/5.71 |
| 12/03/2322/23 | Heerenveen | 2–4 | Ajax | 6.91/4.86/1.43 |
| 10/09/2222/23 | Ajax | 5–0 | Heerenveen | 1.19/7.46/12.91 |
| 11/05/2221/22 | Ajax | 5–0 | Heerenveen | 1.14/8.53/16.50 |
| 16/10/2121/22 | Heerenveen | 0–2 | Ajax | 10.74/5.99/1.24 |
| 18/10/2020/21 | Ajax | 5–1 | Heerenveen | 1.19/7.31/13.68 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heerenveen
Away Record: Ajax
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Heerenveen defeated Ajax 3:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by P. van Amersfoort 11′, O. Sahraoui 38′, P. van Amersfoort 46′, P. Bochniewicz 51′ (o.g.), C. Akpom 79′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Heerenveen had 34% possession while Ajax held 66%. Heerenveen had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Ajax. Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.97 — Ajax 1.38. Heerenveen made 4 substitutions, Ajax made 1.
Match Events
Key match events between Heerenveen and Ajax — 5 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
assist: T. Gooijer
Match Statistics
Heerenveen had 34% possession against Ajax's 66%. Heerenveen registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Ajax managed 12 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 7–4. Fouls committed: 13–8.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Ajax show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Heerenveen
Ajax
Heerenveen vs Ajax Head to Head Results
Heerenveen and Ajax have met 32 times — Heerenveen won 0, Ajax won 27, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 27 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 133 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.16 per match (28 for the home side, 105 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 25 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 32 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2019.
0
Heerenveen
5
Drawn
27
Ajax
Recent Meetings (32)
API data: 15 Mar 2026