5 November 2023 at 15:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.9
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (83%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.40 | 4.75 | 5.50 |
| Max | 1.50 | 5.40 | 6.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 64.8% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| Public market | 63.9% | 20.2% | 16.0% |
| Δ | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
Ajax vs Heerenveen — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2525/26 | Ajax | 1–1 | Heerenveen | 1.57/4.50/5.00 |
| 19/01/2524/25 | Heerenveen | 0–2 | Ajax | 5.21/4.12/1.61 |
| 11/08/2424/25 | Ajax | 1–0 | Heerenveen | 1.45/4.76/6.08 |
| 11/02/2423/24 | Heerenveen | 3–2 | Ajax | 3.97/4.47/1.72 |
| 05/11/2323/24 | Ajax | 4–1 | Heerenveen | 1.47/4.98/5.71 |
| 12/03/2322/23 | Heerenveen | 2–4 | Ajax | 6.91/4.86/1.43 |
| 10/09/2222/23 | Ajax | 5–0 | Heerenveen | 1.19/7.46/12.91 |
| 11/05/2221/22 | Ajax | 5–0 | Heerenveen | 1.14/8.53/16.50 |
| 16/10/2121/22 | Heerenveen | 0–2 | Ajax | 10.74/5.99/1.24 |
| 18/10/2020/21 | Ajax | 5–1 | Heerenveen | 1.19/7.31/13.68 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Ajax
Away Record: Heerenveen
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ajax defeated Heerenveen 4:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by S. Bergwijn 25′, B. Brobbey 42′, L. Brouwers 45′, C. Akpom 84′, C. Akpom 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 58% possession while Heerenveen held 42%. Ajax had 14 shots (8 on target) compared to 12 (3 on target) for Heerenveen. Expected goals: Ajax 2.21 — Heerenveen 1.25. Ajax made 5 substitutions, Heerenveen made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Ajax and Heerenveen — 5 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: S. Berghuis
assist: B. van den Boomen
assist: O. Braude
assist: S. Berghuis
Match Statistics
Ajax had 58% possession against Heerenveen's 42%. Ajax registered 14 shots (8 on target) while Heerenveen managed 12 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–8. Fouls committed: 10–8.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Heerenveen show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Ajax
Heerenveen
Ajax vs Heerenveen Head to Head Results
Ajax and Heerenveen have met 32 times — Ajax won 26, Heerenveen won 1, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 26 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 133 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.16 per match (103 for the home side, 30 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 25 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2019.
26
Ajax
5
Drawn
1
Heerenveen
Recent Meetings (32)
API data: 15 Mar 2026