Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.2
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (80%) — the odds may underestimate Villarreal.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.22 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| Max | 1.22 | 8.08 | 13.21 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 80.4% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Public market | 77.8% | 13.6% | 8.6% |
| Δ | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
Real Madrid vs Villarreal — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2625/26 | Villarreal | 0–2 | Real Madrid | 3.40/3.90/2.00 |
| 04/10/2525/26 | Real Madrid | 3–1 | Villarreal | 1.46/5.19/5.91 |
| 15/03/2524/25 | Villarreal | 1–2 | Real Madrid | 3.06/3.84/2.16 |
| 05/10/2424/25 | Real Madrid | 2–0 | Villarreal | 1.28/6.30/9.35 |
| 19/05/2423/24 | Villarreal | 4–4 | Real Madrid | 3.20/3.87/2.05 |
| 17/12/2323/24 | Real Madrid | 4–1 | Villarreal | 1.27/6.27/9.24 |
| 08/04/2322/23 | Real Madrid | 2–3 | Villarreal | 1.53/4.37/5.97 |
| 07/01/2322/23 | Villarreal | 2–1 | Real Madrid | 3.36/3.79/2.06 |
| 12/02/2221/22 | Villarreal | 0–0 | Real Madrid | 2.57/3.48/2.71 |
| 25/09/2121/22 | Real Madrid | 0–0 | Villarreal | 1.51/4.71/6.00 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Real Madrid
Away Record: Villarreal
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Real Madrid defeated Villarreal 3:0. The match was played in La Liga 2015. Goals were scored by K. Benzema 41′, Lucas Vázquez 69′, L. Modrić 76′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Real Madrid had 60% possession while Villarreal held 40%. Real Madrid had 20 shots (6 on target) compared to 5 (2 on target) for Villarreal. Real Madrid made 3 substitutions, Villarreal made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Real Madrid and Villarreal — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: K. Benzema
assist: Danilo
Match Statistics
Real Madrid had 60% possession against Villarreal's 40%. Real Madrid registered 20 shots (6 on target) while Villarreal managed 5 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 11–1. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Villarreal show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Head to Head Results
Real Madrid and Villarreal have met 30 times — Real Madrid won 15, Villarreal won 4, with 11 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 100 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.33 per match (61 for the home side, 39 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 22 matches (73%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 19 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Madrid are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2024.
15
Real Madrid
11
Drawn
4
Villarreal
Recent Meetings (30)
API data: 15 Mar 2026