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Real Madrid vs Mallorca

30 August 2025 at 20:30Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
21
Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez

Match Summary

Real Madrid defeated Mallorca 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by V. Muriqi 18′, A. Guler 37′, Vinicius Junior 38′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Real Madrid had 58% possession while Mallorca held 42%. Real Madrid had 17 shots (7 on target) compared to 9 (5 on target) for Mallorca. Expected goals: Real Madrid 1.82 — Mallorca 0.72. Real Madrid made 5 substitutions, Mallorca made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Kylian Mbappé 7′), Goal cancelled (Arda Güler 57′).

Match Events

Key match events between Real Madrid and Mallorca — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Goal cancelled7′
VAR
18′
V. Muriqi

assist: P. Torre

37′
Vinicius Junior

assist: F. Valverde

38′
Half Time
Goal cancelled57′
VAR
64′
P. TorreSamu Costa
66′
72′
72′
A. GulerD. Ceballos
72′
78′
M. Morey BauzaA. Sanchez
78′
T. LatoJ. Mojica
87′
M. JosephT. Asano
87′
M. MorlanesJ. Virgili
K. MbappeG. Garcia
90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Real Madrid had 58% possession against Mallorca's 42%. Real Madrid registered 17 shots (7 on target) while Mallorca managed 9 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 12–7.

Shots on Goal
7
5
Shots Off Goal
6
2
Total Shots
17
9
Blocked Shots
4
2
Shots inside the Box
7
8
Shots outside the Box
10
1
Fouls
12
7
Corner Kicks
4
5
Offsides
3
1
Ball Possession
58%
42%
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
5
Total Passes
538
382
Accurate Passes
481
302
Pass Accuracy
89%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
0.72
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.25
0.25

Rivalry since 2010

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Head to Head Results· 18

Real Madrid and Mallorca have met 18 times — Real Madrid won 13, Mallorca won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 53 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.94 per match (41 for the home side, 12 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2021.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
53 · 2.9/match
Both scored
8/18 · 44%
Over 2.5
10/18 · 56%

Recent Meetings

04/04/26La Liga
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14/05/25La Liga
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09/01/25Super Cup
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18/08/24La Liga
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13/04/24La Liga
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03/01/24La Liga
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05/02/23La Liga
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11/09/22La Liga
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14/03/22La Liga
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22/09/21La Liga
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Highest-scoring game: 61 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Mallorca show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (79%) — the odds may underestimate Real Madrid.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Apr 202625/265.50/4.33/1.57
Match Details
30 Aug 202525/261.19/7.08/13.86
Match Details
14 May 202524/251.38/5.22/7.57
Match Details
18 Aug 202424/257.76/4.28/1.47
Match Details
13 Apr 202423/244.95/3.63/1.75
Match Details
3 Jan 202423/241.21/6.39/13.53
Match Details
5 Feb 202322/235.07/3.57/1.75
Match Details
11 Sept 202222/231.27/6.00/10.86
Match Details
14 Mar 202221/226.03/4.13/1.57
Match Details
22 Sept 202121/221.23/6.39/12.68
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 83.7%Draw 14.1%Away 7.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.187.0012.71
Max1.217.1615.00
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.0%
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market79.1%13.4%7.5%
Public market80.2%13.5%6.3%
Δ1.1%0.1%1.2%

Real Madrid vs Mallorca — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Real Madrid
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (84%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real MadridHalf-time:21Mallorca
17Shots9
7Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Madrid

W 805D 238L 217
Over 2.561
Goals scored2729

Away Record: Mallorca

W 290D 208L 336
Over 2.548
Goals scored1011

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026