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Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

28 September 2025 at 13:00Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Match Summary

Sevilla defeated Rayo Vallecano 1:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by A. Adams 87′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Rayo Vallecano had 64% possession while Sevilla held 36%. Rayo Vallecano had 18 shots (6 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Sevilla. Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano 1.89 — Sevilla 0.63. Rayo Vallecano made 5 substitutions, Sevilla made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla — 1 goal and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
P. DiazU. Lopez
67′
J. de FrutosF. Perez
67′
69′
R. VargasA. Januzaj
77′
L. AgoumeD. Sow
77′
F. CardosoR. Martinez
I. PalazonO. Trejo
78′
AlemaoS. Camello
78′
87′
A. Adams

assist: J. A. Carmona

O. ValentinS. Becerra
90+2′
90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Rayo Vallecano had 64% possession against Sevilla's 36%. Rayo Vallecano registered 18 shots (6 on target) while Sevilla managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 12–4. Fouls committed: 11–15.

Shots on Goal
6
1
Shots Off Goal
7
1
Total Shots
18
4
Blocked Shots
5
2
Shots inside the Box
13
2
Shots outside the Box
5
2
Fouls
11
15
Corner Kicks
12
4
Offsides
0
1
Ball Possession
64%
36%
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
6
Total Passes
486
280
Accurate Passes
401
193
Pass Accuracy
83%
69%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
0.63
Goals Prevented (xGP)
1.65
1.65

Rivalry since 2012

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Head to Head Results· 21

Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla have met 21 times — Rayo Vallecano won 2, Sevilla won 12, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Sevilla leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.90 per match (19 for the home side, 42 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (62%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (52%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Sevilla are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2012.

Drawn
7
·
12
wins
Total goals
61 · 2.9/match
Both scored
13/21 · 62%
Over 2.5
11/21 · 52%

Recent Meetings

08/03/26La Liga
Match Details
01/03/25La Liga
Match Details
24/11/24La Liga
Match Details
05/02/24La Liga
Match Details
07/10/23La Liga
Match Details
19/02/23La Liga
Match Details
29/10/22La Liga
Match Details
13/03/22La Liga
Match Details
15/08/21La Liga
Match Details
25/04/19La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Sevilla show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Sevilla.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202625/262.55/3.10/3.00
Match Details
28 Sept 202525/262.02/3.34/4.01
Match Details
1 Mar 202524/252.31/3.23/3.30
Match Details
24 Nov 202424/252.31/3.24/3.27
Match Details
5 Feb 202423/242.14/3.35/3.45
Match Details
7 Oct 202323/241.87/3.57/4.26
Match Details
19 Feb 202322/232.50/3.14/3.05
Match Details
29 Oct 202222/232.01/3.35/4.04
Match Details
13 Mar 202221/223.35/3.14/2.34
Match Details
15 Aug 202121/221.43/4.40/8.12
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.5%Draw 29.9%Away 24.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.304.00
Max2.043.394.02
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Rayo Vallecano · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.4%28.5%24.1%
Public market47.5%28.8%23.7%

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Sevilla
Result vs. Market: Rayo Vallecano (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Rayo VallecanoHalf-time:00Sevilla
18Shots4
6Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Away Record: Sevilla

W 479D 281L 386
Over 2.549
Goals scored1629

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026