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Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad

19 October 2025 at 15:15Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Match Summary

Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad drew 1:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by P. Duran 20′, C. Soler 89′. 7 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Celta Vigo had 41% possession while Real Sociedad held 59%. Celta Vigo had 4 shots (1 on target) compared to 17 (7 on target) for Real Sociedad. Expected goals: Celta Vigo 0.95 — Real Sociedad 1.55. Celta Vigo made 5 substitutions, Real Sociedad made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Mikel Oyarzabal 49′).

Match Events

Key match events between Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad — 2 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
P. Duran

assist: O. Mingueza

20′
Half Time
H. SoteloC. Dominguez
46′
VAR
49′Goal cancelled
O. MinguezaJ. Rueda
54′
B. IglesiasH. Alvarez
54′
57′
Y. HerreraP. Marin
67′
A. MunozG. Guedes
67′
B. MendezC. Soler
F. JutglaJ. El Abdellaoui
70′
76′
J. AramburuJ. Karrikaburu
76′
A. BarrenetxeaA. Zakharyan
P. DuranF. Beltran
85′
89′
C. Soler

assist: G. Guedes

Full Time

Match Statistics

Celta Vigo had 41% possession against Real Sociedad's 59%. Celta Vigo registered 4 shots (1 on target) while Real Sociedad managed 17 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 1–10. Fouls committed: 10–20.

Shots on Goal
1
7
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Total Shots
4
17
Blocked Shots
0
6
Shots inside the Box
2
10
Shots outside the Box
2
7
Fouls
10
20
Corner Kicks
1
10
Offsides
1
8
Ball Possession
41%
59%
Yellow Cards
4
3
Red Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
0
Total Passes
380
518
Accurate Passes
290
455
Pass Accuracy
76%
88%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
1.55
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.37
-0.37

Rivalry since 2012

Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad Head to Head Results· 30

Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad have met 30 times — Celta Vigo won 7, Real Sociedad won 15, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Real Sociedad leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 83 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.77 per match (36 for the home side, 47 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2013.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
83 · 2.8/match
Both scored
20/30 · 67%
Over 2.5
15/30 · 50%

Recent Meetings

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Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Celta Vigo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Real Sociedad show 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Real Sociedad.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Jan 202625/262.00/3.40/3.90
Match Details
19 Oct 202525/262.10/3.41/3.62
Match Details
13 May 202524/252.34/3.33/3.13
Match Details
21 Dec 202424/252.92/3.14/2.61
Match Details
20 Jan 202423/243.19/3.06/2.43
Match Details
19 Aug 202323/241.72/3.40/5.19
Match Details
18 Feb 202322/231.80/3.40/5.15
Match Details
16 Oct 202222/232.58/3.22/2.88
Match Details
8 Jan 202221/221.87/3.34/4.59
Match Details
28 Oct 202121/222.81/3.38/2.54
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.5%Draw 29.3%Away 27.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.403.50
Max2.113.423.74
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Celta Vigo · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.8%28.3%25.9%
Public market45.1%27.9%27.1%
Δ0.8%0.4%1.2%

Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Celta Vigo (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Celta VigoHalf-time:10Real Sociedad
4Shots17
1Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Celta Vigo

W 356D 280L 396
Over 2.548
Goals scored1321

Away Record: Real Sociedad

W 430D 308L 408
Over 2.550
Goals scored1535

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026