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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

1 February 2026 at 13:00Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Match Summary

Real Madrid defeated Rayo Vallecano 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by Vinicius Junior 15′, J. de Frutos 49′, K. Mbappe 90′ (pen.). 10 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Real Madrid had 57% possession while Rayo Vallecano held 43%. Real Madrid had 16 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Rayo Vallecano. Expected goals: Real Madrid 2.21 — Rayo Vallecano 1.03. Real Madrid made 5 substitutions, Rayo Vallecano made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano — 3 goals and 12 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
10′
Vinicius Junior

assist: B. Diaz

15′
Half Time
R. AsencioD. Ceballos
46′
49′
J. de Frutos

assist: A. Garcia

56′
J. de FrutosP. Diaz
56′
G. GumbauO. Valentin
F. MastantuonoG. Garcia
60′
D. HuijsenD. Alaba
77′
A. GulerRodrygo
77′
77′
A. GarciaPacha
83′
I. PalazonLuiz Felipe
84′
I. AkhomachC. Martin
K. Mbappe

Penalty

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Real Madrid had 57% possession against Rayo Vallecano's 43%. Real Madrid registered 16 shots (6 on target) while Rayo Vallecano managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 9–4. Fouls committed: 6–18.

Shots on Goal
6
4
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Total Shots
16
11
Blocked Shots
4
3
Shots inside the Box
12
4
Shots outside the Box
4
7
Fouls
6
18
Corner Kicks
9
4
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
57%
43%
Yellow Cards
2
8
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
4
Total Passes
582
443
Accurate Passes
522
390
Pass Accuracy
90%
88%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
1.03
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.69
-0.69

Rivalry since 2011

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results· 21

Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano have met 21 times — Real Madrid won 15, Rayo Vallecano won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 15 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 73 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.48 per match (53 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (52%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Madrid are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 10–2 in 2015.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
73 · 3.5/match
Both scored
11/21 · 52%
Over 2.5
11/21 · 52%

Recent Meetings

09/11/25La Liga
Match Details
09/03/25La Liga
Match Details
14/12/24La Liga
Match Details
18/02/24La Liga
Match Details
05/11/23La Liga
Match Details
24/05/23La Liga
Match Details
07/11/22La Liga
Match Details
26/02/22La Liga
Match Details
06/11/21La Liga
Match Details
28/04/19La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 102 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Rayo Vallecano show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Feb 202625/261.25/6.00/12.00
Match Details
9 Nov 202525/265.71/4.92/1.50
Match Details
9 Mar 202524/251.29/5.83/9.98
Match Details
14 Dec 202424/255.96/3.92/1.58
Match Details
18 Feb 202423/245.64/3.96/1.61
Match Details
5 Nov 202323/241.26/5.91/11.18
Match Details
24 May 202322/231.63/4.11/5.21
Match Details
7 Nov 202222/235.20/4.07/1.65
Match Details
26 Feb 202221/225.04/3.97/1.67
Match Details
6 Nov 202121/221.36/5.36/7.92
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 80.0%Draw 16.7%Away 8.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.256.0012.00
Max1.256.0012.00
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 36.4%
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Real Madrid
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (80%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real MadridHalf-time:10Rayo Vallecano
16Shots11
6Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Madrid

W 805D 238L 217
Over 2.561
Goals scored2729

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026