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Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

6 March 2026 at 20:00Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo
Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Match Summary

Real Madrid defeated Celta Vigo 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by A. Tchouameni 11′, B. Iglesias 25′, F. Valverde 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Celta Vigo had 37% possession while Real Madrid held 63%. Celta Vigo had 8 shots (4 on target) compared to 14 (3 on target) for Real Madrid. Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.04 — Real Madrid 0.86. Celta Vigo made 5 substitutions, Real Madrid made 3. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Trent Alexander-Arnold 71′).

Match Events

Key match events between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
11′
A. Tchouameni

assist: A. Guler

Half Time
65′
A. GulerC. Palacios
W. SwedbergF. Lopez
69′
B. IglesiasJ. El Abdellaoui
70′
F. JutglaH. Alvarez
70′
VAR
71′Penalty cancelled
77′
B. DiazG. Garcia
O. MinguezaI. Aspas
83′
I. MoribaM. Vecino
90+1′
90′
T. PitarchM. A. Moran
Full Time

Match Statistics

Celta Vigo had 37% possession against Real Madrid's 63%. Celta Vigo registered 8 shots (4 on target) while Real Madrid managed 14 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 1–6. Fouls committed: 4–12.

Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Total Shots
8
14
Blocked Shots
0
7
Shots inside the Box
7
7
Shots outside the Box
1
7
Fouls
4
12
Corner Kicks
1
6
Offsides
2
0
Ball Possession
37%
63%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
3
Total Passes
473
810
Accurate Passes
410
740
Pass Accuracy
87%
91%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
0.86
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.91
0.91

Rivalry since 2012

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Head to Head Results· 27

Celta Vigo and Real Madrid have met 27 times — Celta Vigo won 2, Real Madrid won 23, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 23 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 103 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.81 per match (26 for the home side, 77 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 20 games (74%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–1 in 2016.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
103 · 3.8/match
Both scored
16/27 · 59%
Over 2.5
20/27 · 74%

Recent Meetings

07/12/25La Liga
Match Details
04/05/25La Liga
Match Details
19/10/24La Liga
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10/03/24La Liga
Match Details
25/08/23La Liga
Match Details
22/04/23La Liga
Match Details
20/08/22La Liga
Match Details
02/04/22La Liga
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12/09/21La Liga
Match Details
20/03/21La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 71 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Celta Vigo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Real Madrid show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Real Madrid.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Mar 202625/263.10/3.30/2.30
Match Details
7 Dec 202525/261.30/5.67/9.57
Match Details
4 May 202524/251.35/5.80/7.17
Match Details
19 Oct 202424/255.29/4.36/1.59
Match Details
10 Mar 202423/241.29/5.98/9.18
Match Details
25 Aug 202323/244.67/3.82/1.69
Match Details
22 Apr 202322/231.36/5.14/8.52
Match Details
20 Aug 202222/234.60/4.18/1.69
Match Details
2 Apr 202221/224.06/3.65/1.90
Match Details
12 Sept 202121/221.37/5.24/8.13
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.3%Draw 30.3%Away 43.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.302.30
Max3.103.302.30
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Real Madrid
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Celta VigoHalf-time:11Real Madrid
8Shots14
4Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Celta Vigo

W 356D 280L 396
Over 2.548
Goals scored1321

Away Record: Real Madrid

W 805D 238L 217
Over 2.561
Goals scored2729

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026