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Carlisle vs Morecambe

Brunton Park, Carlisle13 October 2018 at 15:00
02

Match Events

Carlisle
Morecambe
Kick Off
14′
A. Leitch-Smith
26′
V. Oliver

assist: L. Mandeville

Half Time
58′
A. TutteJ. Cranston
R. BennettL. McCarron
68′
M. GillespheyG. Glendon
68′
M. JonesR. Slater
68′
75′
R. OatesCarlos Gomes
82′
A. Leitch-SmithJ. Oswell
Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Morecambe's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 1 midfielders averaging —, versus Morecambe's 2 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 5 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 4 for Morecambe averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

CarlislePosition StrengthMorecambe
Carlisle
30GoalkeeperA. Collin
2DefenderG. Miller
6DefenderT. Parkes
12DefenderM. Gillesphey
4DefenderG. Liddle
8MidfielderM. Jones
21ForwardK. Etuhu
17ForwardJ. Yates
18ForwardJ. Sowerby
14ForwardR. Bennett
23ForwardA. Nadesan
Morecambe
1GoalkeeperB. Roche
2DefenderZ. Mills
3DefenderL. Conlan
16DefenderS. Lavelle
14DefenderJ. Yarney
15MidfielderA. Wildig
6MidfielderA. Tutte
18ForwardR. Oates
28ForwardA. Leitch-Smith
9ForwardV. Oliver
17ForwardL. Mandeville

Match Summary

Morecambe defeated Carlisle 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by A. Leitch-Smith 14′, V. Oliver 26′. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Morecambe made 3.

Rivalry since 2014

Carlisle vs Morecambe Head to Head Results

23 stretnutí
Carlisle
11
wins
Drawn
8
Morecambe
4
wins
Total goals
60 · 2.6/match
Both scored
14/23 · 61%
Over 2.5
10/23 · 43%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Morecambe

LLLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle3wins
4draws10 meetings
Morecambe3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Morecambe.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.3%Draw 25.9%Away 22.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.754.40
Max1.833.944.75
Market favourite:Carlisle · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.2%24.4%21.4%
Public market53.4%26.1%20.6%
Δ0.9%1.7%0.8%

Carlisle vs Morecambe — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Morecambe
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (56%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:02Morecambe
15Shots10
5Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/04/25Morecambe0–2Carlisle2.29/3.55/2.86
26/12/24Carlisle0–1Morecambe1.85/3.54/4.06
06/03/21Morecambe3–1Carlisle2.66/3.34/2.60
27/10/20Carlisle3–1Morecambe1.67/3.91/4.96
22/02/20Carlisle2–2Morecambe2.25/3.42/3.19
07/12/19Morecambe1–1Carlisle2.61/3.53/2.67
01/01/19Morecambe0–2Carlisle3.12/3.41/2.33
13/10/18Carlisle0–2Morecambe1.78/3.86/4.55
14/04/18Morecambe1–1Carlisle3.54/3.37/2.18
25/11/17Carlisle1–1Morecambe1.72/3.86/5.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Morecambe

W 229D 196L 302
Over 2.550
Goals scored890

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026