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Carlisle vs Morecambe

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria27 October 2020 at 19:00
31
Referee: R. Joyce

Match Events

Carlisle
Morecambe
Kick Off
Y. Songo'o

Own Goal

1′
J. Mellish

assist: J. Riley

3′
Joe Riley37′
Half Time
50′John O'Sullivan
59′
Carlos GomesA. Phillips
G. TouréG. Reilly
73′
J. RileyD. Furman
77′
79′
J. OSullivanF. Price
79′
Y. Songo'o

assist: A. Wildig

81′Yann Songo'o
85′
T. DiagouragaL. McAlinden
G. Tanner

assist: C. Guy

86′
L. AlessandraM. Obiero
88′
Gavin Reilly89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
17Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots5
9Shots insidebox9
8Shots outsidebox2
19Fouls14
4Corner Kicks6
0Offsides2
45%Ball Possession55%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
337Total passes398
190Passes accurate230
56%Passes %58%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 6.30, compared to — for Morecambe. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Hayden (6.30), while Morecambe's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Morecambe's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Morecambe's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Morecambe averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Carlisle and —% for Morecambe. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Morecambe. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)), while Morecambe average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 0 for Morecambe. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle4-3-34-2-3-1Morecambe
GKDEFMIDFWD
21Farman13McDonald3Anderton6Hayden7Riley8Guy9Alessan.20Touré2Tanner12Mellish14Kayode1Turner3Hendrie5Lavelle8Diagour.4Knight-.10Wildig2Mellor7Slew16O'Sulli.24Songo'o11Gomes

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Substitutes

Coach: D. Adams

CarlislePosition StrengthMorecambe
6.30
Avg Rating
6.30Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle4-3-3
21GoalkeeperP. Farman
13DefenderR. McDonald
3DefenderN. Anderton
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
2DefenderG. Tanner
7MidfielderJ. Riley
8MidfielderC. Guy
12MidfielderJ. Mellish
9ForwardL. Alessandra
20ForwardG. Touré
14ForwardJ. Kayode
Morecambe4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperJ. Turner
3DefenderS. Hendrie
5DefenderS. Lavelle
4DefenderN. Knight-Percival
2DefenderK. Mellor
8MidfielderT. Diagouraga
10MidfielderA. Wildig
16MidfielderJ. O'Sullivan
24MidfielderY. Songo'o
11MidfielderCarlos Gomes
7ForwardJ. Slew

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Morecambe 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by Y. Songo'o 1′ (o.g.), J. Mellish 3′, Y. Songo'o 79′, G. Tanner 86′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 45% possession while Morecambe held 55%. Carlisle had 17 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Morecambe. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Morecambe made 3.

Rivalry since 2014

Carlisle vs Morecambe Head to Head Results

23 stretnutí
Carlisle
10
wins
Drawn
8
Morecambe
5
wins
Total goals
58 · 2.5/match
Both scored
13/23 · 57%
Over 2.5
9/23 · 39%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Morecambe

LLLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle3wins
4draws10 meetings
Morecambe3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Morecambe.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.8%Draw 25.6%Away 20.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.754.60
Max1.694.005.29
Over 2.5: 57.1%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market57.4%24.3%18.3%
Public market57.2%23.8%19.0%

Carlisle vs Morecambe — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:20Morecambe
17Shots11
6Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/04/25Morecambe0–2Carlisle2.29/3.55/2.86
26/12/24Carlisle0–1Morecambe1.85/3.54/4.06
06/03/21Morecambe3–1Carlisle2.66/3.34/2.60
27/10/20Carlisle3–1Morecambe1.67/3.91/4.96
22/02/20Carlisle2–2Morecambe2.25/3.42/3.19
07/12/19Morecambe1–1Carlisle2.61/3.53/2.67
01/01/19Morecambe0–2Carlisle3.12/3.41/2.33
13/10/18Carlisle0–2Morecambe1.78/3.86/4.55
14/04/18Morecambe1–1Carlisle3.54/3.37/2.18
25/11/17Carlisle1–1Morecambe1.72/3.86/5.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Morecambe

W 229D 196L 302
Over 2.550
Goals scored890

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026