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Carlisle vs Morecambe

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria22 February 2020 at 15:00
22
Referee: P. Wright

Match Events

Carlisle
Morecambe
Kick Off
18′
C. Stockton

assist: J. Cranston

24′
A. Wildig
O. Patrick

assist: B. Webster

45′
Half Time
N. ThomasH. McKirdy
49′
Elliot Watt51′
Nick Anderton59′
A. Hayden

assist: E. Watt

65′
M. JonesJ. Bridge
77′
81′
Carlos GomesA. Kenyon
81′
J. SlewJ. O'Sullivan
85′Jordan Cranston
O. PatrickO. Olomola
88′
Byron Webster90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal5
17Total Shots15
5Blocked Shots3
9Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox11
17Fouls13
11Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
58%Ball Possession42%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves5
341Total passes250
217Passes accurate115
64%Passes %46%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 6.30, compared to — for Morecambe. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Hayden (6.30), while Morecambe's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 3 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Morecambe's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Morecambe's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Morecambe averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Carlisle and —% for Morecambe. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Morecambe. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)), while Morecambe average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 0 for Morecambe. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle4-3-34-3-3Morecambe
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Collin17Webster34Anderton6Hayden8Jones14Jones7Thomas40Patrick12Watt9Alessan.5Mellish37Mafoumbi5Old33Cranston16Lavelle32Diagour.15Wildig29Slew31Phillips30Cooney9Stockton19Gomes

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Substitutes

Coach: D. Adams

CarlislePosition StrengthMorecambe
6.30
Avg Rating
6.30Defender (3 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle4-3-3
1GoalkeeperA. Collin
17DefenderB. Webster
34DefenderN. Anderton
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
8MidfielderM. Jones
14MidfielderG. Jones
12MidfielderE. Watt
5MidfielderJ. Mellish
7ForwardN. Thomas
40ForwardO. Patrick
9ForwardL. Alessandra
Morecambe4-3-3
37GoalkeeperC. Mafoumbi
5DefenderS. Old
33DefenderJ. Cranston
16DefenderS. Lavelle
30DefenderR. Cooney
32MidfielderT. Diagouraga
15MidfielderA. Wildig
31MidfielderA. Phillips
29ForwardJ. Slew
9ForwardC. Stockton
19ForwardCarlos Gomes

Match Summary

Carlisle and Morecambe drew 2:2. The match was played in League Two 2019. Goals were scored by C. Stockton 18′, A. Wildig 24′, O. Patrick 45′, A. Hayden 65′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 58% possession while Morecambe held 42%. Carlisle had 17 shots (7 on target) compared to 15 (7 on target) for Morecambe. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Morecambe made 2.

Rivalry since 2014

Carlisle vs Morecambe Head to Head Results

23 stretnutí
Carlisle
11
wins
Drawn
7
Morecambe
5
wins
Total goals
58 · 2.5/match
Both scored
13/23 · 57%
Over 2.5
9/23 · 39%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Morecambe

LLLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle3wins
4draws10 meetings
Morecambe3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Morecambe.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.4%Draw 29.2%Away 31.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.373.10
Max2.313.503.25
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.7%28.6%29.8%
Public market43.4%27.3%29.4%
Δ1.7%1.3%0.4%

Carlisle vs Morecambe — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:12Morecambe
17Shots15
7Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/04/25Morecambe0–2Carlisle2.29/3.55/2.86
26/12/24Carlisle0–1Morecambe1.85/3.54/4.06
06/03/21Morecambe3–1Carlisle2.66/3.34/2.60
27/10/20Carlisle3–1Morecambe1.67/3.91/4.96
22/02/20Carlisle2–2Morecambe2.25/3.42/3.19
07/12/19Morecambe1–1Carlisle2.61/3.53/2.67
01/01/19Morecambe0–2Carlisle3.12/3.41/2.33
13/10/18Carlisle0–2Morecambe1.78/3.86/4.55
14/04/18Morecambe1–1Carlisle3.54/3.37/2.18
25/11/17Carlisle1–1Morecambe1.72/3.86/5.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Morecambe

W 229D 196L 302
Over 2.550
Goals scored890

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026