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Cheltenham vs Grimsby

Whaddon Road, Cheltenham8 December 2018 at 15:00
21
Referee: Paul Marsden

Match Events

Cheltenham
Grimsby
Kick Off
R. Broom
29′
Half Time
Johnny Mullins52′
N. AtanganaC. Thomas
61′
J. MaddoxA. Addai
62′
63′
E. Embleton

assist: C. Vernam

72′
C. VernamJ. Cook
Alex Addai80′
80′Ben Pringle
L. VarneyS. Jones
89′
Tyrone Barnett90′
90′James McKeown
90′
B. PringleM. Rose
90+3′
H. CliftonH. Cardwell
C. Thomas

Penalty

90+2′
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Cheltenham is 6.56, compared to 7.05 for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cheltenham's highest-rated starter is R. Broom (6.56), while Grimsby's best-rated player is C. Vernam (7.05).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Cheltenham have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Grimsby's starters account for 10 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by C. Vernam (10G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Cheltenham deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Grimsby's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cheltenham field 5 midfielders averaging 6.56, versus Grimsby's 6 rated 7.05. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cheltenham start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Grimsby averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 73% for Cheltenham and 75% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Cheltenham's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Cheltenham's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: R. Broom (29), oldest: R. Broom (29)), while Grimsby average 29.0 (youngest: C. Vernam (29), oldest: C. Vernam (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Cheltenham's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 40 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

CheltenhamPosition StrengthGrimsby
6.56
Avg Rating
7.05
6.56Midfielder (5 v 6)7.05
0G 0A10G 10A
Cheltenham
1GoalkeeperS. Flinders
3DefenderC. Hussey
5DefenderJ. Mullins
15DefenderW. Boyle
4MidfielderB. Tozer
26MidfielderC. Clements
6MidfielderN. Atangana
20MidfielderJ. Maddox
11MidfielderR. Broom6.6
32ForwardL. Varney
29ForwardT. Barnett
Grimsby
1GoalkeeperJ. McKeown
6DefenderD. Collins
24DefenderH. Davis
27DefenderL. Hendrie
19MidfielderA. Fox
30MidfielderB. Pringle
7MidfielderJ. Hessenthaler
15MidfielderH. Clifton
22MidfielderE. Embleton
18MidfielderC. Vernam7.010G10A
39ForwardW. Thomas

Match Summary

Cheltenham defeated Grimsby 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by R. Broom 29′, E. Embleton 63′, C. Thomas 90′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Cheltenham made 3 substitutions, Grimsby made 3.

Rivalry since 2015

Cheltenham vs Grimsby Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Cheltenham
4
wins
Drawn
4
Grimsby
6
wins
Total goals
40 · 2.9/match
Both scored
9/14 · 64%
Over 2.5
6/14 · 43%

Recent Form

Cheltenham

LLLWWW

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Grimsby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cheltenham1wins
3draws10 meetings
Grimsby6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.8%Draw 30.3%Away 28.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.253.50
Max2.203.403.61
Market favourite:Cheltenham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.8%29.5%26.7%
Public market44.3%28.7%27.1%

Cheltenham vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cheltenham
Result vs. Market: Cheltenham (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CheltenhamHalf-time:10Grimsby
11Shots14
4Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Cheltenham0–2Grimsby3.80/3.40/1.91
27/09/25Grimsby7–1Cheltenham1.42/4.45/6.50
01/03/25Cheltenham1–1Grimsby2.39/3.27/2.93
17/08/24Grimsby3–2Cheltenham2.44/3.31/2.86
05/04/21Grimsby1–1Cheltenham4.47/3.50/1.82
13/10/20Cheltenham1–3Grimsby1.73/3.84/4.59
26/11/19Grimsby0–0Cheltenham2.74/3.31/2.69
16/02/19Grimsby1–0Cheltenham2.22/3.55/3.18
08/12/18Cheltenham2–1Grimsby2.18/3.30/3.57
17/10/17Cheltenham2–3Grimsby2.01/3.62/3.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026