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Grimsby vs Cheltenham

Blundell Park, Grimsby16 February 2019 at 15:00
10
Referee: Trevor Kettle

Match Events

Grimsby
Cheltenham
Kick Off
W. Thomas

Penalty

41′
44′Charlie Raglan
Half Time
56′
R. BinghamB. Waters
M. WoolfordH. Clifton
64′
65′
L. VarneyI. Duku
72′
C. PringW. Boyle
W. ThomasK. Dennis
73′
80′Jordan Tillson
E. EmbletonH. Davis
84′
Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Cheltenham's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Cheltenham's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Cheltenham averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

GrimsbyPosition StrengthCheltenham
Grimsby
1GoalkeeperJ. McKeown
6DefenderD. Collins
5DefenderL. Öhman
27DefenderL. Hendrie
3DefenderS. Ring
16MidfielderM. Woolford
11MidfielderJ. Cook
7MidfielderJ. Hessenthaler
2MidfielderR. Hall-Johnson
22MidfielderE. Embleton
39ForwardW. Thomas
Cheltenham
1GoalkeeperS. Flinders
3DefenderC. Hussey
24DefenderC. Raglan
28DefenderC. Pring
4MidfielderB. Tozer
8MidfielderK. Dawson
7MidfielderC. Thomas
25MidfielderJ. Tillson
20MidfielderJ. Maddox
32ForwardL. Varney
27ForwardR. Bingham

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Cheltenham 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by W. Thomas 41′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Grimsby made 3 substitutions, Cheltenham made 3.

Rivalry since 2015

Grimsby vs Cheltenham Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Grimsby
5
wins
Drawn
4
Cheltenham
5
wins
Total goals
42 · 3.0/match
Both scored
10/14 · 71%
Over 2.5
7/14 · 50%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Cheltenham

LLLWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Grimsby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby6wins
3draws10 meetings
Cheltenham1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.1%Draw 28.1%Away 31.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.503.10
Max2.253.603.25
Market favourite:Grimsby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.4%26.8%29.8%
Public market43.2%27.0%29.9%

Grimsby vs Cheltenham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Grimsby (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:10Cheltenham
6Shots5
3Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Cheltenham0–2Grimsby3.80/3.40/1.91
27/09/25Grimsby7–1Cheltenham1.42/4.45/6.50
01/03/25Cheltenham1–1Grimsby2.39/3.27/2.93
17/08/24Grimsby3–2Cheltenham2.44/3.31/2.86
05/04/21Grimsby1–1Cheltenham4.47/3.50/1.82
13/10/20Cheltenham1–3Grimsby1.73/3.84/4.59
26/11/19Grimsby0–0Cheltenham2.74/3.31/2.69
16/02/19Grimsby1–0Cheltenham2.22/3.55/3.18
08/12/18Cheltenham2–1Grimsby2.18/3.30/3.57
17/10/17Cheltenham2–3Grimsby2.01/3.62/3.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026