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Grimsby vs Cheltenham

Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire5 April 2021 at 15:00
11
Referee: A. Davies

Match Events

Grimsby
Cheltenham
Kick Off
L. John-Lewis

assist: S. Payne

8′
34′
W. Boyle

assist: B. Tozer

Half Time
71′
A. MayG. Lloyd
72′
E. ChapmanC. Thomas
72′
S. SmithA. Williams
72′
F. AzazC. Wright
L. John-LewisG. Coke
79′
S. PayneM. Green
85′
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal6
11Total Shots15
3Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox5
11Fouls8
7Corner Kicks8
2Offsides5
47%Ball Possession53%
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
323Total passes365
185Passes accurate210
57%Passes %58%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Cheltenham's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Cheltenham's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Cheltenham averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Grimsby3-4-33-5-2Cheltenham
GKDEFMIDFWD
1McKeown6Waterfa.36Habergh.2Hendrie22Hewitt26Menayese15Clifton20Matete21John-Le.9Hanson40Payne20Griffit.4Tozer3Hussey2Long15Boyle26Sercombe11Blair18Azaz28Chapman10May9Smith

Substitutes

Coach: P. Hurst

Substitutes

Coach: M. Duff

GrimsbyPosition StrengthCheltenham
Grimsby3-4-3
1GoalkeeperJ. McKeown
6DefenderL. Waterfall
22DefenderE. Hewitt
26DefenderR. Menayese
36MidfielderS. Habergham
2MidfielderL. Hendrie
15MidfielderH. Clifton
20MidfielderJ. Matete
21ForwardL. John-Lewis
9ForwardJ. Hanson
40ForwardS. Payne
Cheltenham3-5-2
20GoalkeeperJ. Griffiths
4DefenderB. Tozer
2DefenderS. Long
15DefenderW. Boyle
3MidfielderC. Hussey
26MidfielderL. Sercombe
11MidfielderM. Blair
18MidfielderF. Azaz
28MidfielderE. Chapman
10ForwardA. May
9ForwardS. Smith

Match Summary

Grimsby and Cheltenham drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by L. John-Lewis 8′, W. Boyle 34′. Grimsby had 47% possession while Cheltenham held 53%. Grimsby had 11 shots (3 on target) compared to 15 (6 on target) for Cheltenham. Grimsby made 2 substitutions, Cheltenham made 4.

Rivalry since 2015

Grimsby vs Cheltenham Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Grimsby
6
wins
Drawn
3
Cheltenham
5
wins
Total goals
41 · 2.9/match
Both scored
9/14 · 64%
Over 2.5
7/14 · 50%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Cheltenham

LLLWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Grimsby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby6wins
3draws10 meetings
Cheltenham1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (21%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 22.4%Draw 28.6%Away 54.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.333.401.80
Max4.593.601.83
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Cheltenham · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market20.9%26.7%52.4%
Public market21.1%27.1%51.8%

Grimsby vs Cheltenham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Cheltenham (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:11Cheltenham
11Shots15
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Cheltenham0–2Grimsby3.80/3.40/1.91
27/09/25Grimsby7–1Cheltenham1.42/4.45/6.50
01/03/25Cheltenham1–1Grimsby2.39/3.27/2.93
17/08/24Grimsby3–2Cheltenham2.44/3.31/2.86
05/04/21Grimsby1–1Cheltenham4.47/3.50/1.82
13/10/20Cheltenham1–3Grimsby1.73/3.84/4.59
26/11/19Grimsby0–0Cheltenham2.74/3.31/2.69
16/02/19Grimsby1–0Cheltenham2.22/3.55/3.18
08/12/18Cheltenham2–1Grimsby2.18/3.30/3.57
17/10/17Cheltenham2–3Grimsby2.01/3.62/3.82

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026