Menu

Northampton vs Forest Green

PTS Academy Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands14 December 2019 at 15:00
Referee: A. Coggins

Match Events

Northampton
Forest Green
Kick Off
30′Ebou Adams
M. Mills

Own Goal

45′
Half Time
57′
A. CollinsE. Frear
P. AndersonS. McWilliams
67′
70′
M. StevensJ. Mondal
V. OliverH. Smith
72′
Shaun McWilliams76′
C. LinesA. Williams
80′
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal8
12Total Shots16
3Blocked Shots5
9Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox11
16Fouls9
6Corner Kicks9
2Offsides2
36%Ball Possession64%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
254Total passes449
154Passes accurate336
61%Passes %75%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Northampton is 6.61, compared to — for Forest Green. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Northampton's highest-rated starter is S. Hoskins (6.61), while Forest Green's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Northampton have contributed 6 goals and 0 assists this season, led by S. Hoskins (6G). Forest Green's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Northampton deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Forest Green's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Northampton field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Northampton start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.61, compared to 1 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 62% for Northampton and —% for Forest Green. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Northampton's starters have collected 6 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Forest Green. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Northampton's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: S. Hoskins (32), oldest: S. Hoskins (32)), while Forest Green average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Northampton's starters average 42 league appearances each, versus 0 for Forest Green. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Northampton3-4-1-24-4-2Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Cornell16Wharton23Harriman6Turnbull5Goode44Anderson14Lines10Adams8Watson7Hoskins19Oliver1Smith5Mills23Mills2Shephard20Kitching3Bernard7Winches.14Adams9Stevens10Collins29Aitchis.

Substitutes

Coach: K. Curle

Substitutes

Coach: M. Cooper

NorthamptonPosition StrengthForest Green
6.61
Avg Rating
6.61Forward (3 v 1)
6G 0A0G 0A
Northampton3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperD. Cornell
16DefenderS. Wharton
6DefenderJ. Turnbull
5DefenderC. Goode
23MidfielderM. Harriman
14MidfielderC. Lines
10MidfielderN. Adams
8MidfielderR. Watson
44ForwardP. Anderson
7ForwardS. Hoskins6.66G
19ForwardV. Oliver
Forest Green4-4-2
1GoalkeeperA. Smith
5DefenderM. Mills
23DefenderJ. Mills
20DefenderL. Kitching
3DefenderD. Bernard
2MidfielderL. Shephard
7MidfielderC. Winchester
14MidfielderE. Adams
10MidfielderA. Collins
29MidfielderJ. Aitchison
9ForwardM. Stevens

Match Summary

Northampton defeated Forest Green 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2019. Goals were scored by M. Mills 45′ (o.g.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Northampton had 36% possession while Forest Green held 64%. Northampton had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 16 (3 on target) for Forest Green. Northampton made 3 substitutions, Forest Green made 2.

Rivalry since 2018

Northampton vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

4 stretnutí
Northampton
1
wins
Drawn
1
Forest Green
2
wins
Total goals
9 · 2.3/match
Both scored
3/4 · 75%
Over 2.5
2/4 · 50%

Recent Form

Northampton

LLLLLL

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton2wins
1draws5 meetings
Forest Green2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.7%Draw 29.8%Away 34.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.302.80
Max2.563.403.00
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.6%28.6%33.8%
Public market38.9%28.6%32.4%
Δ1.3%1.3%

Northampton vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Northampton
Result vs. Market: Northampton (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:10Forest Green
12Shots16
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/01/22Northampton1–1Forest Green3.13/3.19/2.37
11/09/21Forest Green1–0Northampton1.99/3.46/3.67
14/12/19Northampton1–0Forest Green2.52/3.35/2.88
01/01/19Forest Green2–1Northampton2.18/3.36/3.50
13/10/18Northampton2–1Forest Green2.58/3.42/2.77

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026