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Northampton vs Forest Green

Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands15 January 2022 at 15:00
Referee: M. Edwards

Match Events

Northampton
Forest Green
Kick Off
Jack Sowerby45′
Half Time
Paul Lewis51′
Fraser Horsfall64′
69′
M. Stevens

assist: N. Cadden

P. LewisC. Zimba
73′
77′
M. StevensJ. March
80′Kane Wilson
83′
J. AitchisonR. Hendry
D. ConnollyD. Rose
84′
Mitchell Pinnock90+6′
M. Pinnock

assist: S. McWilliams

90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox2
20Fouls9
4Corner Kicks7
0Offsides3
50%Ball Possession50%
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
328Total passes330
196Passes accurate204
60%Passes %62%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Northampton is 6.76, compared to — for Forest Green. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Northampton's highest-rated starter is J. Guthrie (6.90), while Forest Green's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Northampton have contributed 7 goals and 1 assists this season, led by S. Hoskins (6G). Forest Green's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Northampton deploy 4 defenders rated 6.90 on average, against Forest Green's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Northampton field 5 midfielders averaging 6.61, versus Forest Green's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Northampton start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 69% for Northampton and —% for Forest Green. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Northampton's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Forest Green. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Northampton's starting XI is 32.5 (youngest: S. Hoskins (32), oldest: J. Guthrie (33)), while Forest Green average 31.0 (youngest: J. Moore-Taylor (31), oldest: J. Moore-Taylor (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Northampton's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 0 for Forest Green. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Northampton4-2-3-13-4-1-2Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Roberts5Guthrie3McGowan6Horsfall14Koiki10Connolly11Pinnock8Lewis4Sowerby17McWilli.7Hoskins1McGee15Moore-T.2Wilson22Godwin-.3Bernard11Cadden7Stevens.14Matt4Sweeney9Stevens10Aitchis.

Substitutes

Coach: J. Brady

Substitutes

Coach: R. Edwards

NorthamptonPosition StrengthForest Green
6.76
Avg Rating
6.90Defender (4 v 3)
1G 1A0G 0A
6.61Midfielder (5 v 4)
6G 0A0G 0A
Northampton4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperL. Roberts
5DefenderJ. Guthrie6.91G1A
3DefenderA. McGowan
6DefenderF. Horsfall
14DefenderA. Koiki
11MidfielderM. Pinnock
8MidfielderP. Lewis
4MidfielderJ. Sowerby
17MidfielderS. McWilliams
7MidfielderS. Hoskins6.66G
10ForwardD. Connolly
Forest Green3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperL. McGee
15DefenderJ. Moore-Taylor
22DefenderU. Godwin-Malife
3DefenderD. Bernard
2MidfielderK. Wilson
11MidfielderN. Cadden
7MidfielderB. Stevenson
4MidfielderD. Sweeney
14ForwardJ. Matt
9ForwardM. Stevens
10ForwardJ. Aitchison

Match Summary

Northampton and Forest Green drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2021. Goals were scored by M. Stevens 69′, M. Pinnock 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Northampton had 50% possession while Forest Green held 50%. Northampton had 11 shots (2 on target) compared to 8 (4 on target) for Forest Green. Northampton made 2 substitutions, Forest Green made 2.

Rivalry since 2018

Northampton vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

4 stretnutí
Northampton
2
wins
Drawn
0
Forest Green
2
wins
Total goals
8 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/4 · 50%
Over 2.5
2/4 · 50%

Recent Form

Northampton

LLLLLL

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton2wins
1draws5 meetings
Forest Green2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.9%Draw 31.3%Away 42.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.182.30
Max3.303.202.46
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Forest Green · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.9%30.1%39.0%
Public market28.9%29.8%41.4%
Δ2.1%0.4%2.4%

Northampton vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:00Forest Green
11Shots8
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/01/22Northampton1–1Forest Green3.13/3.19/2.37
11/09/21Forest Green1–0Northampton1.99/3.46/3.67
14/12/19Northampton1–0Forest Green2.52/3.35/2.88
01/01/19Forest Green2–1Northampton2.18/3.36/3.50
13/10/18Northampton2–1Forest Green2.58/3.42/2.77

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026