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Forest Green vs Northampton

The Fully Charged New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire11 September 2021 at 15:00
Referee: S. Oldham

Match Events

Forest Green
Northampton
Kick Off
21′Aaron McGowan
Kane Wilson43′
Half Time
59′
J. FloresM. Pinnock
60′
K. EteteD. Connolly
75′Paul Lewis
J. Matt

assist: N. Cadden

77′
81′
S. McWilliamsN. Kabamba
M. StevensJ. March
84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal3
10Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox3
4Shots outsidebox4
13Fouls12
4Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
53%Ball Possession47%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
370Total passes324
230Passes accurate189
62%Passes %58%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Forest Green is —, compared to 6.76 for Northampton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Forest Green's highest-rated starter is —, while Northampton's best-rated player is J. Guthrie (6.90).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Forest Green have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Northampton's starters account for 7 goals and 1 assists, spearheaded by S. Hoskins (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Forest Green deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Northampton's 4-man backline averaging 6.90. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Forest Green field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Northampton's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Forest Green start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Northampton averaging 6.61. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Forest Green and 69% for Northampton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Forest Green's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Northampton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Forest Green's starting XI is 31.0 (youngest: J. Moore-Taylor (31), oldest: J. Moore-Taylor (31)), while Northampton average 32.5 (youngest: S. Hoskins (32), oldest: J. Guthrie (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Forest Green's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 30 for Northampton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Forest Green3-4-1-24-3-3Northampton
GKDEFMIDFWD
1McGee15Moore-T.2Wilson3Bernard11Cadden21Hendry7Stevens.14Matt4Sweeney9Stevens10Aitchis.1Roberts5Guthrie3McGowan6Horsfall14Koiki8Lewis16Flores17McWilli.32Rose7Hoskins19Etete

Substitutes

Coach: R. Edwards

Substitutes

Coach: J. Brady

Forest GreenPosition StrengthNorthampton
Avg Rating
6.76
Defender (3 v 4)6.90
0G 0A1G 1A
Forward (3 v 3)6.61
0G 0A6G 0A
Forest Green3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperL. McGee
15DefenderJ. Moore-Taylor
3DefenderD. Bernard
4DefenderD. Sweeney
2MidfielderK. Wilson
11MidfielderN. Cadden
21MidfielderR. Hendry
7MidfielderB. Stevenson
14ForwardJ. Matt
9ForwardM. Stevens
10ForwardJ. Aitchison
Northampton4-3-3
1GoalkeeperL. Roberts
5DefenderJ. Guthrie6.91G1A
3DefenderA. McGowan
6DefenderF. Horsfall
14DefenderA. Koiki
8MidfielderP. Lewis
16MidfielderJ. Flores
17MidfielderS. McWilliams
32ForwardD. Rose
7ForwardS. Hoskins6.66G
19ForwardK. Etete

Match Summary

Forest Green defeated Northampton 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2021. Goals were scored by J. Matt 77′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Forest Green had 53% possession while Northampton held 47%. Forest Green had 10 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Northampton. Forest Green made 1 substitutions, Northampton made 3.

Rivalry since 2018

Forest Green vs Northampton Head to Head Results

4 stretnutí
Forest Green
1
wins
Drawn
1
Northampton
2
wins
Total goals
9 · 2.3/match
Both scored
3/4 · 75%
Over 2.5
2/4 · 50%

Recent Form

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Northampton

LLLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Forest Green2wins
1draws5 meetings
Northampton2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Forest Green.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.3%Draw 28.9%Away 27.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.303.50
Max2.013.573.80
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Forest Green · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.5%26.8%25.7%
Public market48.3%26.9%24.8%

Forest Green vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Forest Green
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Forest GreenHalf-time:00Northampton
10Shots7
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/01/22Northampton1–1Forest Green3.13/3.19/2.37
11/09/21Forest Green1–0Northampton1.99/3.46/3.67
14/12/19Northampton1–0Forest Green2.52/3.35/2.88
01/01/19Forest Green2–1Northampton2.18/3.36/3.50
13/10/18Northampton2–1Forest Green2.58/3.42/2.77

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Away Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026