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Doncaster vs Grimsby

Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire10 April 2023 at 15:00
12
Referee: A. Young

Match Events

Doncaster
Grimsby
Kick Off
13′Luke Waterfall
A. Barlow

assist: Z. Westbrooke

26′
28′Andy Smith
45+3′Ryan Taylor
Half Time
46′
L. WaterfallO. Khan
B. NelsonR. Williams
54′
Jonathan Mitchell77′
79′Anthony Driscoll-Glennon
81′Harry Clifton
84′
R. TaylorG. Lloyd
84′
J. McAteeD. Orsi
85′
N. Maher

assist: A. Smith

90+1′Kieran Green
A. BarlowJ. Goodman
90+10′
Z. WestbrookeK. Hurst
90+7′
90+6′
G. Lloyd
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal8
7Total Shots17
1Blocked Shots2
2Shots insidebox12
5Shots outsidebox5
7Fouls13
3Corner Kicks5
4Offsides1
43%Ball Possession57%
1Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
253Total passes327
127Passes accurate205
50%Passes %63%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Doncaster is 6.79, compared to 7.00 for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Doncaster's highest-rated starter is L. Molyneux (6.84), while Grimsby's best-rated player is K. Green (7.00).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Doncaster have contributed 9 goals and 7 assists this season, led by L. Molyneux (8G). Grimsby's starters account for 13 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by K. Green (13G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Doncaster deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Grimsby's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Doncaster field 4 midfielders averaging 6.79, versus Grimsby's 5 rated 7.00. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Doncaster start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Grimsby averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 74% for Doncaster and 58% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Doncaster's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Doncaster's starting XI is 28.3 (youngest: L. Molyneux (27), oldest: B. Close (29)), while Grimsby average 28.0 (youngest: K. Green (28), oldest: K. Green (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Doncaster's starters average 31 league appearances each, versus 42 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Doncaster3-4-33-5-2Grimsby
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Mitchell28Faulkner18Nelson15Long2Brown33Close10Rowe7Molyneux24Westbro.22Agard16Barlow1Crocombe26Smith6Waterfa.31Maher7Emmanuel4Green17Morris15Clifton3Driscol.29Taylor10McAtee

Substitutes

Coach: D. Schofield

Substitutes

Coach: P. Hurst

DoncasterPosition StrengthGrimsby
6.79
Avg Rating
7.00
6.79Midfielder (4 v 5)7.00
9G 7A13G 5A
Doncaster3-4-3
1GoalkeeperJ. Mitchell
28DefenderB. Faulkner
18DefenderB. Nelson
15DefenderA. Long
2MidfielderJ. Brown
33MidfielderB. Close6.71G
10MidfielderT. Rowe
7MidfielderL. Molyneux6.88G7A
24ForwardZ. Westbrooke
22ForwardK. Agard
16ForwardA. Barlow
Grimsby3-5-2
1GoalkeeperM. Crocombe
26DefenderA. Smith
6DefenderL. Waterfall
31DefenderN. Maher
7MidfielderJ. Emmanuel
4MidfielderK. Green7.013G5A
17MidfielderB. Morris
15MidfielderH. Clifton
3MidfielderA. Driscoll-Glennon
29ForwardR. Taylor
10ForwardJ. McAtee

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Doncaster 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by A. Barlow 26′, N. Maher 85′, G. Lloyd 90′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Doncaster had 43% possession while Grimsby held 57%. Doncaster had 7 shots (2 on target) compared to 17 (7 on target) for Grimsby. Doncaster made 3 substitutions, Grimsby made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Doncaster vs Grimsby Head to Head Results

10 stretnutí
Doncaster
8
wins
Drawn
0
Grimsby
2
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.0/match
Both scored
4/10 · 40%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Form

Doncaster

WDLWWL

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Doncaster dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Doncaster6wins
0draws8 meetings
Grimsby2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Doncaster.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.4%Draw 30.7%Away 39.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.102.55
Max2.873.412.56
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.8%28.4%37.8%
Public market33.8%29.1%37.1%

Doncaster vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Grimsby (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DoncasterHalf-time:10Grimsby
7Shots16
2Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/02/25Doncaster1–2Grimsby1.69/3.84/4.73
05/10/24Grimsby0–3Doncaster2.91/3.39/2.38
17/02/24Grimsby1–5Doncaster1.94/3.62/3.76
28/10/23Doncaster1–0Grimsby2.25/3.54/3.06
10/04/23Doncaster1–2Grimsby2.82/3.25/2.55
12/11/22Grimsby1–3Doncaster1.94/3.53/3.85
17/12/16Doncaster1–0Grimsby1.81/3.86/4.44
01/04/17Grimsby1–5Doncaster4.78/3.63/1.81

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Doncaster

W 86D 37L 61
Over 2.556
Goals scored277

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026