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Grimsby vs Doncaster

Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire5 October 2024 at 12:30
03
Referee: E. Duckworth

Match Events

Grimsby
Doncaster
Kick Off
2′
J. Gibson
10′
L. Molyneux

assist: J. Sterry

Denver Hume24′
Kieran Green36′
44′
J. Gibson
Harvey Rodgers45′
Harvey Rodgers45′
Half Time
J. SvanþórssonC. Gardner
46′
K. GreenM. Carson
46′
D. HumeT. Warren
46′
D. RoseR. Pyke
62′
68′
B. FlemingJ. Senior
68′
J. SterryJ. Emmanuel
74′
B. SharpJ. Ironside
74′
P. KellyB. Close
81′
L. MolyneuxE. Yeboah
L. BarringtonJ. Obikwu
82′
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal2
10Total Shots8
0Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox6
1Shots outsidebox2
7Fouls11
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides4
33%Ball Possession67%
3Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
238Total passes492
140Passes accurate396
59%Passes %80%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Grimsby is 6.85, compared to 6.74 for Doncaster. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Grimsby's highest-rated starter is C. McJannet (7.16), while Doncaster's best-rated player is O. Bailey (7.02).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Grimsby have contributed 24 goals and 13 assists this season, led by K. Green (13G). Doncaster's starters account for 35 goals and 20 assists, spearheaded by O. Bailey (13G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 4 defenders rated 7.07 on average, against Doncaster's 4-man backline averaging 6.78. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 5 midfielders averaging 6.78, versus Doncaster's 5 rated 6.72. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.53, compared to 1 for Doncaster averaging 6.70. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 67% for Grimsby and 71% for Doncaster. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Grimsby's starters have collected 28 yellow cards this season, compared to 40 for Doncaster. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Grimsby's starting XI is 26.6 (youngest: E. Khouri (22), oldest: D. Rose (32)), while Doncaster average 27.9 (youngest: J. McGrath (22), oldest: B. Sharp (39)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Grimsby's starters average 31 league appearances each, versus 38 for Doncaster. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Grimsby4-1-4-14-2-3-1Doncaster
GKDEFMIDFWD
31Smith2Cass5Rodgers17McJannet33Hume20McEachr.11Svanþór.4Green30Khouri14Barring.32Rose19Sharman.2Sterry17Bailey25McGrath27Fleming22Kelly8Broadbe.7Molyneux15Clifton11Gibson14Sharp

Substitutes

Coach: D. Artell

Substitutes

Coach: G. McCann

GrimsbyPosition StrengthDoncaster
6.85
Avg Rating
6.74
7.00Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
7.07Defender (4 v 4)6.78
5G 4A14G 6A
6.78Midfielder (5 v 5)6.72
17G 9A14G 13A
6.53Forward (1 v 1)6.70
2G 0A7G 1A
Grimsby4-1-4-1
31GoalkeeperJ. Smith7.0
2DefenderL. Cass
5DefenderH. Rodgers7.03G2A
17DefenderC. McJannet7.22G2A
33DefenderD. Hume
20MidfielderG. McEachran6.92A
11MidfielderJ. Svanþórsson6.4
4MidfielderK. Green7.013G5A
30MidfielderE. Khouri6.84G2A
14MidfielderL. Barrington
32ForwardD. Rose6.52G
Doncaster4-2-3-1
19GoalkeeperT. Sharman-Lowe
2DefenderJ. Sterry6.71A
17DefenderO. Bailey7.013G4A
25DefenderJ. McGrath6.61G1A
27DefenderB. Fleming
22MidfielderP. Kelly
8MidfielderG. Broadbent6.81G3A
7MidfielderL. Molyneux6.88G7A
15MidfielderH. Clifton6.62G1A
11MidfielderJ. Gibson6.73G2A
14ForwardB. Sharp6.77G1A

Match Summary

Doncaster defeated Grimsby 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2024. Goals were scored by J. Gibson 2′, L. Molyneux 10′, J. Gibson 44′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Grimsby had 33% possession while Doncaster held 67%. Grimsby had 10 shots (3 on target) compared to 8 (5 on target) for Doncaster. Grimsby made 5 substitutions, Doncaster made 5.

Rivalry since 2016

Grimsby vs Doncaster Head to Head Results

10 stretnutí
Grimsby
3
wins
Drawn
0
Doncaster
7
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.0/match
Both scored
5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Doncaster

WDLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Doncaster dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby2wins
0draws8 meetings
Doncaster6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Doncaster.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.4%Draw 29.5%Away 42.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.302.36
Max3.003.462.40
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 51.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.4%27.4%40.2%
Public market33.3%27.5%39.2%

Grimsby vs Doncaster — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Doncaster
Result vs. Market: Doncaster (42%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:03Doncaster
10Shots8
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/02/25Doncaster1–2Grimsby1.69/3.84/4.73
05/10/24Grimsby0–3Doncaster2.91/3.39/2.38
17/02/24Grimsby1–5Doncaster1.94/3.62/3.76
28/10/23Doncaster1–0Grimsby2.25/3.54/3.06
10/04/23Doncaster1–2Grimsby2.82/3.25/2.55
12/11/22Grimsby1–3Doncaster1.94/3.53/3.85
17/12/16Doncaster1–0Grimsby1.81/3.86/4.44
01/04/17Grimsby1–5Doncaster4.78/3.63/1.81

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Doncaster

W 86D 37L 61
Over 2.556
Goals scored277

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026