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Grimsby vs Doncaster

Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire17 February 2024 at 15:00
15
Referee: T. Kirk

Match Events

Grimsby
Doncaster
Kick Off
6′
L. Molyneux

assist: H. Adelakun

8′
J. Ironside

assist: H. Adelakun

D. Rose

Penalty

19′
28′Owen Bailey
Liam Smith45+4′
Half Time
51′
N. Maher

Own Goal

53′Matthew Craig
J. AndrewsJ. Obikwu
57′
65′
L. MolyneuxK. Hurst
65′
H. BigginsB. Waters
C. VernamR. Pyke
70′
Abobaker EisaD. Wilson
70′
72′
M. Craig

assist: T. Anderson

Harry Clifton74′
74′
O. BaileyG. Broadbent
74′
M. CraigT. Rowe
K. GreenG. Holohan
77′
82′
K. Hurst

assist: H. Adelakun

83′
H. AdelakunT. Nixon
90+3′Jamie Sterry
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
12Total Shots9
3Blocked Shots0
9Shots insidebox4
3Shots outsidebox5
17Fouls20
5Corner Kicks6
3Offsides0
54%Ball Possession46%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
357Total passes309
234Passes accurate184
66%Passes %60%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Grimsby is 6.87, compared to 6.72 for Doncaster. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Grimsby's highest-rated starter is C. Vernam (7.05), while Doncaster's best-rated player is O. Bailey (7.02).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Grimsby have contributed 25 goals and 15 assists this season, led by K. Green (13G). Doncaster's starters account for 23 goals and 16 assists, spearheaded by O. Bailey (13G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 4 defenders rated 6.91 on average, against Doncaster's 4-man backline averaging 6.79. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 3 midfielders averaging 7.00, versus Doncaster's 5 rated 6.88. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.79, compared to 1 for Doncaster averaging 6.25. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 64% for Grimsby and 69% for Doncaster. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Grimsby's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 24 for Doncaster. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Grimsby's starting XI is 28.8 (youngest: D. Tharme (26), oldest: D. Rose (32)), while Doncaster average 27.1 (youngest: T. Lo-Tutala (22), oldest: J. Ironside (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Grimsby's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 27 for Doncaster. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Grimsby4-3-34-2-3-1Doncaster
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Cartwri.2Smith24Tharme31Maher33Hume15Clifton4Green19Andrews10Vernam32Rose7Eisa15Lo-Tuta.2Sterry4Anderson6Wood3Maxwell17Bailey37Craig7Molyneux14Biggins47Adelakun20Ironside

Substitutes

Coach: D. Artell

Substitutes

Coach: G. McCann

GrimsbyPosition StrengthDoncaster
6.87
Avg Rating
6.72
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.59
0G 0A0G 0A
6.91Defender (4 v 4)6.79
0G 0A0G 3A
7.00Midfielder (3 v 5)6.88
13G 5A23G 13A
6.79Forward (3 v 1)6.25
12G 10A0G 0A
Grimsby4-3-3
1GoalkeeperH. Cartwright
2DefenderL. Smith
24DefenderD. Tharme6.9
31DefenderN. Maher
33DefenderD. Hume
15MidfielderH. Clifton
4MidfielderK. Green7.013G5A
19MidfielderJ. Andrews
10ForwardC. Vernam7.010G10A
32ForwardD. Rose6.52G
7ForwardAbobaker Eisa
Doncaster4-2-3-1
15GoalkeeperT. Lo-Tutala6.6
2DefenderJ. Sterry6.71A
4DefenderT. Anderson
6DefenderR. Wood
3DefenderJ. Maxwell6.82A
17MidfielderO. Bailey7.013G4A
37MidfielderM. Craig
7MidfielderL. Molyneux6.88G7A
14MidfielderH. Biggins
47MidfielderH. Adelakun6.82G2A
20ForwardJ. Ironside6.3

Match Summary

Doncaster defeated Grimsby 5:1. The match was played in League Two 2023. Goals were scored by L. Molyneux 6′, J. Ironside 8′, D. Rose 19′ (pen.), N. Maher 51′ (o.g.), M. Craig 72′, K. Hurst 82′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Grimsby had 54% possession while Doncaster held 46%. Grimsby had 12 shots (4 on target) compared to 9 (4 on target) for Doncaster. Grimsby made 4 substitutions, Doncaster made 5.

Rivalry since 2016

Grimsby vs Doncaster Head to Head Results

10 stretnutí
Grimsby
3
wins
Drawn
0
Doncaster
7
wins
Total goals
27 · 2.7/match
Both scored
4/10 · 40%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Doncaster

WDLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Doncaster dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby2wins
0draws8 meetings
Doncaster6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Doncaster.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.5%Draw 27.6%Away 26.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.603.50
Max1.963.673.98
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Grimsby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.3%26.4%24.3%
Public market48.7%26.4%25.0%

Grimsby vs Doncaster — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Doncaster
Result vs. Market: Grimsby (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:12Doncaster
12Shots9
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/02/25Doncaster1–2Grimsby1.69/3.84/4.73
05/10/24Grimsby0–3Doncaster2.91/3.39/2.38
17/02/24Grimsby1–5Doncaster1.94/3.62/3.76
28/10/23Doncaster1–0Grimsby2.25/3.54/3.06
10/04/23Doncaster1–2Grimsby2.82/3.25/2.55
12/11/22Grimsby1–3Doncaster1.94/3.53/3.85
17/12/16Doncaster1–0Grimsby1.81/3.86/4.44
01/04/17Grimsby1–5Doncaster4.78/3.63/1.81

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Doncaster

W 86D 37L 61
Over 2.556
Goals scored277

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026