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Notts County vs Afc Wimbledon

Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire19 October 2024 at 15:00

Match Events

Notts County
AFC Wimbledon
Kick Off
9′Riley Harbottle
Lewis Macari13′
Half Time
K. GordonN. Tsaroulla
46′
S. RobertsonS. Austin
46′
61′
R. HarbottleR. Johnson
Matthew Platt64′
M. Platt

assist: M. Palmer

67′
75′
Omar BugielJ. Pigott
75′
M. StevensJ. Kelly
75′
J. NeufvilleH. Biler
82′
C. MaycockJ. Furlong
L. MacariR. McDonald
89′
George Abbott90+1′
90′James Furlong
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal7
12Total Shots16
3Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox9
2Shots outsidebox7
13Fouls19
3Corner Kicks1
2Offsides2
67%Ball Possession33%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves2
565Total passes262
477Passes accurate204
84%Passes %78%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Notts County is 6.88, compared to 6.69 for AFC Wimbledon. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Notts County's highest-rated starter is M. Platt (7.07), while AFC Wimbledon's best-rated player is J. Tilley (7.11).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Notts County have contributed 19 goals and 15 assists this season, led by A. Jatta (14G). AFC Wimbledon's starters account for 22 goals and 18 assists, spearheaded by M. Stevens (9G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Notts County deploy 3 defenders rated 6.89 on average, against AFC Wimbledon's 3-man backline averaging 6.61. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Notts County field 5 midfielders averaging 6.86, versus AFC Wimbledon's 5 rated 6.78. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Notts County start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.92, compared to 2 for AFC Wimbledon averaging 6.59. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 79% for Notts County and 69% for AFC Wimbledon. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Notts County's starters have collected 37 yellow cards this season, compared to 23 for AFC Wimbledon. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Notts County's starting XI is 26.4 (youngest: L. Macari (23), oldest: M. Palmer (30)), while AFC Wimbledon average 27.3 (youngest: I. Ogundere (23), oldest: M. Hippolyte (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Notts County's starters average 28 league appearances each, versus 32 for AFC Wimbledon. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Notts County3-5-23-5-2AFC Wimbledon
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Bass28Macari5Platt4Bedeau33Abbott7Crowley18Palmer20Roberts.2Gordon29Jatta17McGoldr.1Goodman26Harbott.16Ball33Ogundere11Neufvil.8Maycock12Smith21Hippoly.7Tilley14Stevens9Bugiel

Substitutes

Coach: S. Maynard

Substitutes

Coach: J. Jackson

Notts CountyPosition StrengthAFC Wimbledon
6.88
Avg Rating
6.69
6.89Defender (3 v 3)6.61
1G 4A0G 1A
6.86Midfielder (5 v 5)6.78
4G 8A8G 11A
6.92Forward (2 v 2)6.59
14G 3A14G 6A
Notts County3-5-2
1GoalkeeperA. Bass
28DefenderL. Macari6.82A
5DefenderM. Platt7.11G
4DefenderJ. Bedeau6.82A
33MidfielderG. Abbott
7MidfielderD. Crowley
18MidfielderM. Palmer7.01G5A
20MidfielderS. Robertson6.92G1A
2MidfielderK. Gordon6.61G2A
29ForwardA. Jatta6.914G3A
17ForwardD. McGoldrick
AFC Wimbledon3-5-2
1GoalkeeperO. Goodman
26DefenderR. Harbottle6.7
16DefenderJ. Ball
33DefenderI. Ogundere6.61A
11MidfielderJ. Neufville
8MidfielderC. Maycock6.62G2A
12MidfielderA. Smith6.72G3A
21MidfielderM. Hippolyte6.72G4A
7MidfielderJ. Tilley7.12G2A
14ForwardM. Stevens6.59G2A
9ForwardOmar Bugiel6.65G4A

Match Summary

Notts County defeated AFC Wimbledon 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2024. Goals were scored by M. Platt 67′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Notts County had 67% possession while AFC Wimbledon held 33%. Notts County had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 16 (8 on target) for AFC Wimbledon. Notts County made 3 substitutions, AFC Wimbledon made 5.

Rivalry since 2015

Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Notts County
0
wins
Drawn
0
AFC Wimbledon
7
wins
Total goals
17 · 2.4/match
Both scored
2/7 · 29%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Form

Notts County

DWLLWL

AFC Wimbledon

LWLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

AFC Wimbledon dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Notts County1wins
0draws6 meetings
AFC Wimbledon5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.0%Draw 29.2%Away 35.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.373.302.77
Max2.503.582.80
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.7%26.3%34.0%
Public market37.7%28.6%33.7%
Δ2.0%2.3%0.3%

Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Notts County (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:00AFC Wimbledon
12Shots16
3Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/03/25AFC Wimbledon2–0Notts County2.46/3.13/2.96
19/10/24Notts County1–0AFC Wimbledon2.44/3.43/2.79
09/03/24Notts County0–2AFC Wimbledon2.20/3.66/3.08
25/11/23AFC Wimbledon4–2Notts County2.48/3.61/2.65
19/09/15AFC Wimbledon2–1Notts County2.27/3.45/3.28
23/01/16Notts County0–2AFC Wimbledon2.63/3.56/2.67

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026