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Afc Wimbledon vs Notts County

The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London8 March 2025 at 12:30
Referee: T. Kirk

Match Events

AFC Wimbledon
Notts County
Kick Off
J. Lewis

assist: J. Tilley

21′
A. Smith

assist: J. Reeves

35′
Half Time
46′
Z. JohnsonR. McDonald
46′
J. HinchyL. Macari
67′
C. WhitakerW. Jarvis
70′Matt Palmer
M. BrowneC. Maycock
76′
M. StevensJ. Kelly
83′
Omar BugielJ. Pigott
89′
90+1′
C. GrantC. Edwards
90+1′
N. TsaroullaK. Gordon
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
15Total Shots7
6Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls8
5Corner Kicks1
0Offsides1
37%Ball Possession63%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
299Total passes531
202Passes accurate435
68%Passes %82%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for AFC Wimbledon is 6.73, compared to 6.86 for Notts County. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. AFC Wimbledon's highest-rated starter is J. Tilley (7.11), while Notts County's best-rated player is M. Platt (7.07).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of AFC Wimbledon have contributed 31 goals and 18 assists this season, led by M. Browne (12G). Notts County's starters account for 23 goals and 18 assists, spearheaded by A. Jatta (14G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

AFC Wimbledon deploy 3 defenders rated 6.63 on average, against Notts County's 3-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

AFC Wimbledon field 4 midfielders averaging 6.86, versus Notts County's 5 rated 6.82. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

AFC Wimbledon start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.69, compared to 2 for Notts County averaging 6.92. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 69% for AFC Wimbledon and 79% for Notts County. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

AFC Wimbledon's starters have collected 33 yellow cards this season, compared to 36 for Notts County. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of AFC Wimbledon's starting XI is 28.4 (youngest: I. Ogundere (23), oldest: S. Hutchinson (36)), while Notts County average 26.0 (youngest: J. Hinchy (22), oldest: M. Palmer (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

AFC Wimbledon's starters average 31 league appearances each, versus 30 for Notts County. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

AFC Wimbledon3-4-1-23-1-4-2Notts County
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Goodman33Ogundere31Lewis41Hutchin.11Neufvil.4Reeves12Smith7Tilley18Browne9Bugiel14Stevens1Bass27Johnson5Platt4Bedeau6Hinchy25Tsaroul.33Abbott18Palmer11Grant29Jatta16Whitaker

Substitutes

Coach: J. Jackson

Substitutes

Coach: S. Maynard

AFC WimbledonPosition StrengthNotts County
6.73
Avg Rating
6.86
6.63Defender (3 v 3)6.92
0G 2A1G 2A
6.86Midfielder (4 v 5)6.82
5G 8A8G 13A
6.69Forward (3 v 2)6.92
26G 8A14G 3A
AFC Wimbledon3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperO. Goodman
33DefenderI. Ogundere6.61A
31DefenderJ. Lewis6.71A
41DefenderS. Hutchinson6.7
11MidfielderJ. Neufville
4MidfielderJ. Reeves6.71G3A
12MidfielderA. Smith6.72G3A
7MidfielderJ. Tilley7.12G2A
18ForwardM. Browne6.912G2A
9ForwardOmar Bugiel6.65G4A
14ForwardM. Stevens6.59G2A
Notts County3-1-4-2
1GoalkeeperA. Bass
27DefenderZ. Johnson
5DefenderM. Platt7.11G
4DefenderJ. Bedeau6.82A
6MidfielderJ. Hinchy6.7
25MidfielderN. Tsaroulla6.94G5A
33MidfielderG. Abbott
18MidfielderM. Palmer7.01G5A
11MidfielderC. Grant6.63G3A
29ForwardA. Jatta6.914G3A
16ForwardC. Whitaker

Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon defeated Notts County 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2024. Goals were scored by J. Lewis 21′, A. Smith 35′. 2 yellow cards were shown. AFC Wimbledon had 37% possession while Notts County held 63%. AFC Wimbledon had 15 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Notts County. AFC Wimbledon made 3 substitutions, Notts County made 5.

Rivalry since 2015

AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
AFC Wimbledon
6
wins
Drawn
0
Notts County
1
wins
Total goals
16 · 2.3/match
Both scored
2/7 · 29%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Form

AFC Wimbledon

LWLLLL

Notts County

DWLLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

AFC Wimbledon dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AFC Wimbledon5wins
0draws6 meetings
Notts County1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.7%Draw 32.0%Away 33.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.102.88
Max2.473.183.00
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.4%29.8%31.7%
Public market37.9%29.9%32.2%

AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AFC Wimbledon
Result vs. Market: AFC Wimbledon (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AFC WimbledonHalf-time:20Notts County
15Shots7
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/03/25AFC Wimbledon2–0Notts County2.46/3.13/2.96
19/10/24Notts County1–0AFC Wimbledon2.44/3.43/2.79
09/03/24Notts County0–2AFC Wimbledon2.20/3.66/3.08
25/11/23AFC Wimbledon4–2Notts County2.48/3.61/2.65
19/09/15AFC Wimbledon2–1Notts County2.27/3.45/3.28
23/01/16Notts County0–2AFC Wimbledon2.63/3.56/2.67

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026