7 March 2021 at 16:30

Referee: A. Taylor

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Manchester City6wins
1draws10 meetings
Manchester United3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (64%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 67.6%Draw 22.8%Away 14.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.454.206.97
Max1.524.507.50
Over 2.5: 58.1%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Manchester City · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market64.1%21.9%14.0%
Public market65.4%21.1%13.5%
Δ1.3%0.8%0.4%

Manchester City vs Manchester United — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Manchester United
Result vs. Market: Manchester City (68%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Manchester CityHalf-time:01Manchester United
23Shots8
6Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/01/26Manchester United2–0Manchester City3.70/3.80/1.91
14/09/25Manchester City3–0Manchester United1.77/4.00/4.27
06/04/25Manchester United0–0Manchester City3.40/3.63/2.13
15/12/24Manchester City1–2Manchester United1.59/4.52/5.02
03/03/24Manchester City3–1Manchester United1.26/6.21/10.35
29/10/23Manchester United0–3Manchester City4.99/3.96/1.67
14/01/23Manchester United2–1Manchester City4.22/3.79/1.84
02/10/22Manchester City6–3Manchester United1.34/5.64/7.91
06/03/22Manchester City4–1Manchester United1.40/4.80/7.95
06/11/21Manchester United0–2Manchester City4.73/4.02/1.71

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Manchester City

W 554D 225L 286
Over 2.555
Goals scored1927

Away Record: Manchester United

W 746D 276L 234
Over 2.553
Goals scored2334

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Manchester United defeated Manchester City 2:0. The match was played in Premier League 2020. Goals were scored by Bruno Fernandes 2′ (pen.), L. Shaw 50′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Manchester City had 65% possession while Manchester United held 35%. Manchester City had 23 shots (6 on target) compared to 8 (6 on target) for Manchester United. Manchester City made 2 substitutions, Manchester United made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Manchester City and Manchester United — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Manchester City
Manchester United
Kick Off
2′
Half Time
50′
L. Shaw

assist: M. Rashford

João CanceloK. Walker
65′
Gabriel JesusP. Foden
71′
73′
M. RashfordM. Greenwood
88′
A. MartialN. Matić
90+3′
Bruno FernandesB. Williams
Full Time

Match Statistics

Manchester City had 65% possession against Manchester United's 35%. Manchester City registered 23 shots (6 on target) while Manchester United managed 8 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 9–12.

6Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal0
23Total Shots8
7Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox7
10Shots outsidebox1
9Fouls12
6Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
65%Ball Possession35%
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves6
715Total passes374
643Passes accurate293
90%Passes %78%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats. Manchester United show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Manchester City

WWWWWL

Manchester United

WLDWLW

Manchester City vs Manchester United Head to Head Results

Manchester City and Manchester United have met 2 times — Manchester City won 1, Manchester United won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (3 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2025.

1

Manchester City

0

Drawn

1

Manchester United

Goals: 3Goals: 2

Recent Meetings (2)

17 Jan 2026Manchester United2 – 0Manchester City
14 Sept 2025Manchester City3 – 0Manchester United
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026