22 May 2022 at 15:00

Referee: M. Oliver

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Manchester City6wins
1draws10 meetings
Aston Villa3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (84%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 86.7%Draw 12.6%Away 5.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.157.0017.00
Max1.168.7420.27
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 36.4%
Market favourite:Manchester City · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market84.2%11.1%4.8%
Public market82.4%12.0%5.6%
Δ1.7%0.9%0.8%

Manchester City vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Manchester City
Result vs. Market: Manchester City (87%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Manchester CityHalf-time:01Aston Villa
24Shots4
5Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/10/25Aston Villa1–0Manchester City4.29/3.93/1.81
22/04/25Manchester City2–1Aston Villa1.83/4.09/3.95
21/12/24Aston Villa2–1Manchester City3.28/3.70/2.11
03/04/24Manchester City4–1Aston Villa1.30/6.04/8.63
06/12/23Aston Villa1–0Manchester City4.43/4.23/1.71
12/02/23Manchester City3–1Aston Villa1.25/6.39/11.59
03/09/22Aston Villa1–1Manchester City8.75/5.58/1.33
22/05/22Manchester City3–2Aston Villa1.15/7.91/18.76
01/12/21Aston Villa1–2Manchester City8.86/5.17/1.35
20/01/21Manchester City2–0Aston Villa1.24/6.20/11.87

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Manchester City

W 554D 225L 286
Over 2.555
Goals scored1927

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 406D 316L 420
Over 2.549
Goals scored1436

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Manchester City defeated Aston Villa 3:2. The match was played in Premier League 2021. Goals were scored by M. Cash 37′, Philippe Coutinho 69′, İ. Gündoğan 76′, Rodri 78′, İ. Gündoğan 81′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Manchester City had 72% possession while Aston Villa held 28%. Manchester City had 24 shots (5 on target) compared to 4 (2 on target) for Aston Villa. Manchester City made 3 substitutions, Aston Villa made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Manchester City and Aston Villa — 5 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Manchester City
Aston Villa
Kick Off
37′
M. Cash

assist: L. Digne

Half Time
FernandinhoO. Zinchenko
46′
R. MahrezR. Sterling
56′
Bernardo Silvaİ. Gündoğan
68′
69′
Philippe Coutinho

assist: O. Watkins

72′
Philippe CoutinhoM. Nakamba
İ. Gündoğan

assist: R. Sterling

76′
Rodri

assist: O. Zinchenko

78′
İ. Gündoğan

assist: K. De Bruyne

81′
83′
J. RamseyD. Ings
88′
E. BuendíaA. Young
Full Time

Match Statistics

Manchester City had 72% possession against Aston Villa's 28%. Manchester City registered 24 shots (5 on target) while Aston Villa managed 4 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 13–1. Fouls committed: 5–11.

5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal1
24Total Shots4
9Blocked Shots1
18Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox1
5Fouls11
13Corner Kicks1
1Offsides2
72%Ball Possession28%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
601Total passes243
529Passes accurate163
88%Passes %67%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Manchester City

WWWLDL

Aston Villa

WDWWWL

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results

Manchester City and Aston Villa have met 1 times — Manchester City won 0, Aston Villa won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Aston Villa leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2025.

0

Manchester City

0

Drawn

1

Aston Villa

Goals: 0Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

26 Oct 2025Aston Villa1 – 0Manchester City
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026