14 January 2023 at 12:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Manchester City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.4
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (23%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester United.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Max | 4.26 | 3.98 | 1.86 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 22.9% | 24.5% | 52.5% |
| Public market | 22.5% | 26.3% | 51.2% |
| Δ | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
Manchester United vs Manchester City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2625/26 | Manchester United | 2–0 | Manchester City | 3.70/3.80/1.91 |
| 14/09/2525/26 | Manchester City | 3–0 | Manchester United | 1.77/4.00/4.27 |
| 06/04/2524/25 | Manchester United | 0–0 | Manchester City | 3.40/3.63/2.13 |
| 15/12/2424/25 | Manchester City | 1–2 | Manchester United | 1.59/4.52/5.02 |
| 03/03/2423/24 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Manchester United | 1.26/6.21/10.35 |
| 29/10/2323/24 | Manchester United | 0–3 | Manchester City | 4.99/3.96/1.67 |
| 14/01/2322/23 | Manchester United | 2–1 | Manchester City | 4.22/3.79/1.84 |
| 02/10/2222/23 | Manchester City | 6–3 | Manchester United | 1.34/5.64/7.91 |
| 06/03/2221/22 | Manchester City | 4–1 | Manchester United | 1.40/4.80/7.95 |
| 06/11/2121/22 | Manchester United | 0–2 | Manchester City | 4.73/4.02/1.71 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Manchester United
Away Record: Manchester City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Manchester United defeated Manchester City 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2022. Goals were scored by J. Grealish 60′, Bruno Fernandes 78′, M. Rashford 82′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Manchester United had 29% possession while Manchester City held 71%. Manchester United had 8 shots (4 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Manchester City. Manchester United made 5 substitutions, Manchester City made 1. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Bruno Fernandes 79′).
Match Events
Key match events between Manchester United and Manchester City — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: K. De Bruyne
assist: Casemiro
assist: A. Garnacho
Match Statistics
Manchester United had 29% possession against Manchester City's 71%. Manchester United registered 8 shots (4 on target) while Manchester City managed 5 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 1–2. Fouls committed: 15–5.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Manchester United have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Manchester City show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United vs Manchester City Head to Head Results
Manchester United and Manchester City have met 2 times — Manchester United won 1, Manchester City won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (2 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2025.
1
Manchester United
0
Drawn
1
Manchester City
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026